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Connecticut · crop watch

Connecticut apple crop

As of the week ending Sep 27, 100% of the 2026 Connecticut apple crop is rated good or excellent. Harvest is 50% complete (five-year average 47%). USDA's August forecast puts the 2018 crop at 16.4 million lb, down 44.4% from last year's final of 29.5.

Week ending Sep 27, 2026

Good to excellent

100%of the crop

Share of the 2026 crop rated good or excellent for the week ending Sep 27.

▲

50%

Harvested

+3 points against the five-year pace of 47%.

▼

16.4

million lb, 2018 forecast

−44.4% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Week ending Sep 27

Connecticut apple condition holds at 100% good-excellent

For the week ending September 27, 2026, Connecticut's apple crop was rated entirely good to excellent, unchanged from the prior week and continuing a run of favorable ratings through 16 weeks of the season. Harvest reached 50%, ahead of the five-year average of 47% but behind last year's 60% pace for the same week. An August forecast put the crop at 16.4 million pounds, down 44.4% from last year's final total of 29.5 million pounds, though above the 12.9 million pounds harvested two years ago. Watch for the next condition report as harvest moves past the halfway mark.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2026

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

2026202520242023202220212020
Connecticut apple crop condition, 20260%25%50%75%100%Week ending Jun 14: Very poor 0%, Poor 10%, Fair 15%, Good 45%, Excellent 30% — good+excellent 75% (5-yr avg 58%, last year 75%)Week ending Jun 21: Very poor 0%, Poor 10%, Fair 10%, Good 20%, Excellent 60% — good+excellent 80% (5-yr avg 66%, last year 80%)Week ending Jun 28: Very poor 0%, Poor 8%, Fair 10%, Good 21%, Excellent 61% — good+excellent 82% (5-yr avg 89%, last year 92%)Week ending Jul 5: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 5%, Good 35%, Excellent 60% — good+excellent 95% (5-yr avg 84%, last year 94%)Week ending Jul 12: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 5%, Good 55%, Excellent 40% — good+excellent 95% (5-yr avg 78%, last year 90%)Week ending Jul 19: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 5%, Good 65%, Excellent 30% — good+excellent 95% (5-yr avg 82%, last year 92%)Week ending Jul 26: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 10%, Good 60%, Excellent 30% — good+excellent 90% (5-yr avg 86%, last year 93%)Week ending Aug 2: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 17%, Good 65%, Excellent 18% — good+excellent 83% (5-yr avg 88%, last year 95%)Week ending Aug 9: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 10%, Good 25%, Excellent 65% — good+excellent 90% (5-yr avg 89%, last year 95%)Week ending Aug 16: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 5%, Good 25%, Excellent 70% — good+excellent 95% (5-yr avg 87%, last year 91%)Week ending Aug 23: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 2%, Good 26%, Excellent 72% — good+excellent 98% (5-yr avg 81%, last year 85%)Week ending Aug 30: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 10%, Good 10%, Excellent 80% — good+excellent 90% (5-yr avg 80%, last year 100%)Week ending Sep 6: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 20%, Excellent 80% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 92%, last year 100%)Week ending Sep 13: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 30%, Excellent 70% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 90%, last year 100%)Week ending Sep 20: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 25%, Excellent 75% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 88%, last year 81%)Week ending Sep 27: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 45%, Excellent 55% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg —, last year —)USDA forecast — week ending Aug 16USDA forecastHarvest begins — week ending Aug 16Harvest begins−8 pts — week ending Aug 30−8 ptsJun 14Jun 28Jul 12Jul 26Aug 9Aug 23Sep 6Sep 20
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 100% good or excellent, week ending Sep 27. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Green tip, 2026

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Connecticut apple green tip, 20260%50%100%Green tip, week ending Apr 12: 21% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Green tip, week ending Apr 19: 85% (5-yr avg 15%, last year 35%)Green tip, week ending Apr 26: 96% (5-yr avg 41%, last year 80%)Green tip, week ending May 3: 100% (5-yr avg 65%, last year 97%)Green tip, week ending May 10: 100% (5-yr avg 85%, last year 100%)Green tip, week ending May 17: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Green tip, week ending May 24: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Green tip, week ending May 31: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Green tip, week ending Jun 7: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Apr 12Apr 26May 10May 24Jun 7
This year5-yr avgLast year

Green tip: 100% as of Jun 7.

Field progress

Pink, 2026

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Connecticut apple pink, 20260%50%100%Pink, week ending Apr 26: 30% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending May 3: 79% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending May 10: 94% (5-yr avg 53%, last year 72%)Pink, week ending May 17: 98% (5-yr avg 80%, last year 88%)Pink, week ending May 24: 99% (5-yr avg 93%, last year 92%)Pink, week ending May 31: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending Jun 7: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Apr 26May 3May 10May 17May 24May 31Jun 7
This year5-yr avgLast year

Pink: 100% as of Jun 7.

Field progress

Full bloom, 2026

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Connecticut apple full bloom, 20260%50%100%Full bloom, week ending May 24: 65% (5-yr avg 68%, last year 48%)Full bloom, week ending May 31: 100% (5-yr avg 86%, last year 84%)Full bloom, week ending Jun 7: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year 99%)May 24May 31Jun 7
This year5-yr avgLast year

Full bloom: 100% as of Jun 7.

Field progress

Petal fall, 2026

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Connecticut apple petal fall, 20260%50%100%Petal fall, week ending May 24: 30% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Petal fall, week ending May 31: 75% (5-yr avg 52%, last year 69%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 7: 100% (5-yr avg 68%, last year 91%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 14: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year 97%)May 24May 31Jun 7Jun 14
This year5-yr avgLast year

Petal fall: 100% as of Jun 14.

Field progress

Fruit set, 2026

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Connecticut apple fruit set, 20260%50%100%Fruit set, week ending May 31: 30% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Fruit set, week ending Jun 7: 70% (5-yr avg 37%, last year 69%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 14: 95% (5-yr avg 65%, last year 91%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 21: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year 95%)May 31Jun 7Jun 14Jun 21
This year5-yr avgLast year

Fruit set: 100% as of Jun 21.

Field progress

Harvested, 2026

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Connecticut apple harvested, 20260%50%100%Harvested, week ending Jun 14: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Aug 9: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Aug 16: 2% (5-yr avg 2%, last year 3%)Harvested, week ending Aug 23: 5% (5-yr avg 4%, last year 5%)Harvested, week ending Aug 30: 11% (5-yr avg 9%, last year 11%)Harvested, week ending Sep 6: 15% (5-yr avg 15%, last year 19%)Harvested, week ending Sep 13: 25% (5-yr avg 22%, last year 23%)Harvested, week ending Sep 20: 40% (5-yr avg 32%, last year 27%)Harvested, week ending Sep 27: 50% (5-yr avg 47%, last year 60%)Jun 14Aug 16Aug 30Sep 13Sep 27
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 50% as of Sep 27 (5-yr avg 47%).

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

Connecticut apple crop: USDA first forecast vs final0102030million lb2010: no forecast · final 23.0 million lb20102011: no forecast · final 22.0 million lb20112012: no forecast · final 16.5 million lb20122013: no forecast · final 27.0 million lb20132014: no forecast · final 19.9 million lb20142015: no forecast · final 25.1 million lb20152016: no forecast · final 12.9 million lb20162017: no forecast · final 29.5 million lb20172018: Aug forecast 16.4 million lb · final pending2018
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (million lb)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
201816.4 Augustpending———
2017—29.5—$20M0.3%
2016—12.9—$12M0.1%
2015—25.1—$14M0.2%
2014—19.9—$12M0.2%
2013—27.0—$20M0.3%
2012—16.5—$10M0.2%
2011—22.0—$11M0.2%
2010—23.0—$12M0.2%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

Connecticut apple crop: fresh market vs processing0102030million lb2010: fresh 18.5, processing 3.5, not sold 0.0 million lb — 84% fresh20102011: fresh 17.5, processing 2.0, not sold 0.5 million lb — 88% fresh20112012: fresh 14.5, processing 1.0, not sold 0.0 million lb — 94% fresh20122013: fresh 25.5, processing 1.0, not sold 0.0 million lb — 96% fresh20132014: fresh 19.1, processing 0.5, not sold 0.2 million lb — 96% fresh20142015: fresh 23.3, processing 1.0, not sold 0.8 million lb — 93% fresh20152016: fresh 11.7, processing 0.8, not sold 0.4 million lb — 91% fresh20162017: fresh 25.9, processing 3.4, not sold 0.2 million lb — 88% fresh2017
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

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