Arizona · crop watch
Arizona potato crop
USDA's December forecast puts the 2012 crop at 0.8 million cwt, down 21.7% from last year's final of 1.1.
December 2012 forecast
2012 USDA forecast
0.8million cwt
USDA does not publish weekly condition ratings for Arizona potato; the annual forecast and final estimate are the official measures.
Forecast reliability
±0.0%
Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 1 completed season.
Forecast record
How the forecast moved to final
Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.
First forecastFinalFinal pending
| Crop year | First forecast (million cwt) | Final | Revision | Crop value | Share of US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | — | 1.0 | — | — | 0.2% |
| 2014 | — | 1.1 | — | — | 0.2% |
| 2013 | — | 1.0 | — | — | 0.2% |
| 2012 | 0.8 December | 0.8 | 0.0% | — | 0.2% |
| 2011 | — | 1.1 | — | — | 0.2% |
| 2010 | — | 1.0 | — | $17M | 0.3% |
Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.