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New Jersey · crop watch

New Jersey potato crop

USDA last published a production estimate for the state in 2018, when the crop finished at 0.5 million cwt.

December 2012 forecast

2012 USDA forecast

0.8million cwt

USDA does not publish weekly condition ratings for New Jersey potato; the annual forecast and final estimate are the official measures.

Forecast reliability

±14.6%

Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 1 completed season.

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

New Jersey potato crop: USDA first forecast vs final00.20.40.60.8million cwt2010: no forecast · final 0.4 million cwt20102011: no forecast · final 0.3 million cwt20112012: Dec forecast 0.8 million cwt · final 0.6 million cwt (-14.6%)−14.6%20122013: no forecast · final 0.6 million cwt20132014: no forecast · final 0.5 million cwt20142017: no forecast · final 0.6 million cwt20172018: no forecast · final 0.5 million cwt2018
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (million cwt)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
2018—0.5—$5M0.1%
2017—0.6——0.1%
2014—0.5—$6M0.1%
2013—0.6—$6M0.1%
20120.8 December0.6−14.6%—0.1%
2011—0.3——0.1%
2010—0.4—$5M0.1%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Updated September 29, 2026

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