Colorado · crop watch
Colorado potato crop
USDA's November forecast puts the 2025 crop at 23.0 million cwt, up 4.3% from last year's final of 22.1.
2025 USDA forecast
USDA does not publish weekly condition ratings for Colorado potato; the annual forecast and final estimate are the official measures.
23.0
million cwt, 2025 final
0.0% against that season's first forecast.
Analysis
Latest USDA forecast, November 2025
Colorado potato crop forecast up 4.3%
USDA's November 2025 forecast put Colorado's potato crop at 23 million cwt for the 2025 crop year, up 4.3% from last year's final of 22.1 million cwt and above the year before that, which finished at 21.1 million cwt. Over time, Colorado's first-of-season forecasts have typically run about 1.2 points below the final tally, meaning the crop has tended to finish larger than early estimates suggested. That history points toward some room for this year's number to firm up rather than shrink as later USDA reports come in. Buyers weighing Colorado supply against last year's crop should watch for any revision in USDA's next production report.
Forecast reliability
±1.7%
Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 5 completed seasons.
Forecast record
How the forecast moved to final
Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.
| Crop year | First forecast (million cwt) | Final | Revision | Crop value | Share of US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23.0 November | 23.0 | 0.0% | $178M | 5.5% |
| 2024 | 21.3 November | 22.1 | +3.8% | $217M | 5.2% |
| 2023 | 21.4 November | 21.1 | −1.3% | $195M | 4.8% |
| 2022 | 21.1 November | 21.4 | +1.6% | $379M | 5.3% |
| 2021 | 21.1 November | 21.5 | +1.6% | $245M | 5.2% |
| 2020 | 22.9 November | 22.6 | −1.2% | $242M | 5.4% |
| 2019 | 19.7 November | 19.7 | 0.0% | $240M | 4.6% |
| 2018 | — | 21.7 | — | $217M | 4.8% |
| 2017 | — | 21.2 | — | $198M | 4.7% |
| 2016 | — | 22.2 | — | $213M | 4.9% |
| 2015 | — | 22.6 | — | $190M | 5.0% |
| 2014 | — | 23.2 | — | $191M | 5.2% |
Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.