Nebraska · crop watch
Nebraska potato crop
USDA's November forecast puts the 2025 crop at 10.0 million cwt, down 1.8% from last year's final of 10.1.
2025 USDA forecast
USDA does not publish weekly condition ratings for Nebraska potato; the annual forecast and final estimate are the official measures.
9.7
million cwt, 2025 final
−3.0% against that season's first forecast.
Analysis
Latest USDA forecast, November 2025
Nebraska potato forecast slips below last year
USDA's November 2025 forecast puts the Nebraska potato crop at 10 million cwt, down 1.8% from last year's final total of 10.1 million cwt and further off the 10.7 million cwt produced two years ago. Past forecasts in this state have typically finished 0.2% above the initial estimate, so the final number has more often come in slightly larger than first projected. Buyers watching Nebraska volume should note the next USDA update for any revision to this November figure.
Forecast reliability
±2.0%
Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 5 completed seasons.
Forecast record
How the forecast moved to final
Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.
| Crop year | First forecast (million cwt) | Final | Revision | Crop value | Share of US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10.0 November | 9.7 | −3.0% | $137M | 2.3% |
| 2024 | 9.9 November | 10.1 | +2.1% | $149M | 2.4% |
| 2023 | 11.1 November | 10.7 | −3.0% | $141M | 2.4% |
| 2022 | 9.6 November | 9.7 | +1.0% | $124M | 2.4% |
| 2021 | 9.2 November | 9.3 | +1.0% | $109M | 2.2% |
| 2020 | 9.2 November | 8.7 | −5.3% | $97M | 2.1% |
| 2019 | 9.3 November | 9.6 | +3.6% | $109M | 2.3% |
| 2018 | — | 9.3 | — | $101M | 2.1% |
| 2017 | — | 9.0 | — | $109M | 2.0% |
| 2016 | — | 7.4 | — | $81M | 1.6% |
| 2015 | — | 6.9 | — | $68M | 1.5% |
| 2014 | — | 7.9 | — | $84M | 1.8% |
Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.