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Wisconsin · crop watch

Wisconsin potato crop

USDA last rated the 2025 Wisconsin potato crop for the week ending Sep 14, when 87% was good or excellent, versus 88% at this point last year. Harvest stood at 72% complete (five-year average 68%). USDA's November forecast puts the 2025 crop at 28.1 million cwt, up 6.6% from last year's final of 26.4.

Last rated week ending Sep 14, 2025

Good to excellent · last reading

87%of the crop

Share of the 2025 crop rated good or excellent for the week ending Sep 14.

▲

72%

Harvested

+4 points against the five-year pace of 68%.

▲

28.1

million cwt, 2025 forecast

+6.6% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Latest USDA forecast, November 2025

Wisconsin potato forecast up 6.6% on year

USDA's November 2025 forecast puts the Wisconsin potato crop at 28.1 million cwt, up 6.6% from last year's final total of 26.4 million cwt. That is still shy of the 28.4 million cwt final logged two years ago. Past November forecasts in Wisconsin have typically overshot, finishing an average of 2.1% smaller once USDA issues its final number, so this initial 28.1 million cwt figure could ease somewhat by the time the crop is fully accounted for. Watch USDA's end-of-season report for the final tally against this forecast.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Forecast reliability

±5.4%

Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 5 completed seasons.

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2025

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

202520242023202220212020
Wisconsin potato crop condition, 20250%25%50%75%100%Week ending Jun 1: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 6%, Good 93%, Excellent 1% — good+excellent 94% (5-yr avg —, last year 85%)Week ending Jun 8: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 9%, Good 81%, Excellent 10% — good+excellent 91% (5-yr avg —, last year 85%)Week ending Jun 15: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 9%, Good 82%, Excellent 9% — good+excellent 91% (5-yr avg —, last year 93%)Week ending Jun 22: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 12%, Good 81%, Excellent 7% — good+excellent 88% (5-yr avg —, last year 93%)Week ending Jun 29: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 14%, Good 80%, Excellent 6% — good+excellent 86% (5-yr avg —, last year 88%)Week ending Jul 6: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 12%, Good 81%, Excellent 7% — good+excellent 88% (5-yr avg —, last year 90%)Week ending Jul 13: Very poor 0%, Poor 1%, Fair 10%, Good 82%, Excellent 7% — good+excellent 89% (5-yr avg —, last year 87%)Week ending Jul 20: Very poor 0%, Poor 1%, Fair 9%, Good 82%, Excellent 8% — good+excellent 90% (5-yr avg —, last year 89%)Week ending Jul 27: Very poor 0%, Poor 1%, Fair 4%, Good 82%, Excellent 13% — good+excellent 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 90%)Week ending Aug 3: Very poor 0%, Poor 1%, Fair 3%, Good 85%, Excellent 11% — good+excellent 96% (5-yr avg —, last year 91%)Week ending Aug 10: Very poor 0%, Poor 1%, Fair 4%, Good 84%, Excellent 11% — good+excellent 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 91%)Week ending Aug 17: Very poor 0%, Poor 1%, Fair 4%, Good 86%, Excellent 9% — good+excellent 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 92%)Week ending Aug 24: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 13%, Good 79%, Excellent 8% — good+excellent 87% (5-yr avg —, last year 90%)Week ending Aug 31: Very poor 0%, Poor 1%, Fair 11%, Good 80%, Excellent 8% — good+excellent 88% (5-yr avg —, last year 90%)Week ending Sep 7: Very poor 0%, Poor 1%, Fair 10%, Good 80%, Excellent 9% — good+excellent 89% (5-yr avg —, last year 88%)Week ending Sep 14: Very poor 0%, Poor 1%, Fair 12%, Good 79%, Excellent 8% — good+excellent 87% (5-yr avg —, last year 88%)Harvest begins — week ending Jul 13Harvest begins−8 pts — week ending Aug 24−8 ptsUSDA forecast — week ending Sep 14USDA forecastJun 1Jun 15Jun 29Jul 13Jul 27Aug 10Aug 24Sep 7
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 87% good or excellent, week ending Sep 14. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Planted, 2025

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Wisconsin potato planted, 20250%50%100%Planted, week ending Apr 6: 0% (5-yr avg 0%, last year 0%)Planted, week ending Apr 13: 2% (5-yr avg 5%, last year 9%)Planted, week ending Apr 20: 14% (5-yr avg 14%, last year 23%)Planted, week ending Apr 27: 41% (5-yr avg 38%, last year 68%)Planted, week ending May 4: 55% (5-yr avg 56%, last year 77%)Planted, week ending May 11: 75% (5-yr avg 69%, last year 80%)Planted, week ending May 18: 84% (5-yr avg 81%, last year 82%)Planted, week ending May 25: 88% (5-yr avg 90%, last year 92%)Planted, week ending Jun 1: 92% (5-yr avg 94%, last year 97%)Planted, week ending Jun 8: 98% (5-yr avg 97%, last year 100%)Apr 6Apr 20May 4May 18Jun 1
This year5-yr avgLast year

Planted: 98% as of Jun 8 (5-yr avg 97%).

Field progress

Harvested, 2025

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Wisconsin potato harvested, 20250%50%100%Harvested, week ending Jul 13: 2% (5-yr avg 1%, last year 2%)Harvested, week ending Jul 20: 3% (5-yr avg 3%, last year 8%)Harvested, week ending Jul 27: 7% (5-yr avg 6%, last year 11%)Harvested, week ending Aug 3: 11% (5-yr avg 8%, last year 13%)Harvested, week ending Aug 10: 20% (5-yr avg 13%, last year 16%)Harvested, week ending Aug 17: 26% (5-yr avg 18%, last year 20%)Harvested, week ending Aug 24: 28% (5-yr avg 22%, last year 24%)Harvested, week ending Aug 31: 29% (5-yr avg 29%, last year 33%)Harvested, week ending Sep 7: 40% (5-yr avg 37%, last year 41%)Harvested, week ending Sep 14: 55% (5-yr avg 46%, last year 50%)Harvested, week ending Sep 21: 65% (5-yr avg 57%, last year 60%)Harvested, week ending Sep 28: 72% (5-yr avg 68%, last year 73%)Jul 13Jul 27Aug 10Aug 24Sep 7Sep 21
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 72% as of Sep 28 (5-yr avg 68%).

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

Wisconsin potato crop: USDA first forecast vs final010203040million cwt2014: no forecast · final 26.2 million cwt20142015: no forecast · final 29.6 million cwt20152016: no forecast · final 29.6 million cwt20162017: no forecast · final 29.8 million cwt20172018: no forecast · final 27.1 million cwt20182019: Nov forecast 29.0 million cwt · final 27.5 million cwt (-5.2%)−5.2%20192020: Nov forecast 28.3 million cwt · final 27.5 million cwt (-2.8%)−2.8%20202021: Nov forecast 31.2 million cwt · final 28.6 million cwt (-8.2%)−8.2%20212022: Nov forecast 27.6 million cwt · final 26.2 million cwt (-5.1%)−5.1%20222023: Nov forecast 29.8 million cwt · final 28.4 million cwt (-4.9%)−4.9%20232024: Nov forecast 25.1 million cwt · final 26.4 million cwt (+5.3%)+5.3%20242025: Nov forecast 28.1 million cwt · final 29.1 million cwt (+3.6%)+3.6%2025
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (million cwt)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
202528.1 November29.1+3.6%$466M7.0%
202425.1 November26.4+5.3%$407M6.3%
202329.8 November28.4−4.9%$439M6.4%
202227.6 November26.2−5.1%$409M6.5%
202131.2 November28.6−8.2%$372M6.9%
202028.3 November27.5−2.8%$336M6.6%
201929.0 November27.5−5.2%$324M6.5%
2018—27.1—$285M6.0%
2017—29.8—$324M6.6%
2016—29.6—$343M6.6%
2015—29.6—$287M6.6%
2014—26.2—$273M5.8%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

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