ProduceWire ProduceWire

Wisconsin · crop watch

Wisconsin potato crop

USDA last rated the 2022 Wisconsin potato crop for the week ending Sep 18, when 94% was good or excellent, versus 86% at this point last year. Harvest stood at 96% complete (five-year average 98%). USDA's November forecast puts the 2022 crop at 27.6 million cwt, down 3.5% from last year's final of 28.6.

Last rated week ending Sep 18, 2022

Good to excellent · last reading

94%of the crop

Share of the 2022 crop rated good or excellent for the week ending Sep 18.

▼

96%

Harvested

−2 points against the five-year pace of 98%.

▲

28.1

million cwt, 2025 forecast

+6.6% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Latest USDA forecast, November 2025

Wisconsin potato forecast up 6.6% on year

USDA's November 2025 forecast puts the Wisconsin potato crop at 28.1 million cwt, up 6.6% from last year's final total of 26.4 million cwt. That is still shy of the 28.4 million cwt final logged two years ago. Past November forecasts in Wisconsin have typically overshot, finishing an average of 2.1% smaller once USDA issues its final number, so this initial 28.1 million cwt figure could ease somewhat by the time the crop is fully accounted for. Watch USDA's end-of-season report for the final tally against this forecast.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Forecast reliability

±5.4%

Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 5 completed seasons.

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2022

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

202520242023202220212020
Wisconsin potato crop condition, 20220%25%50%75%100%Week ending Jun 5: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 5%, Good 83%, Excellent 12% — good+excellent 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 86%)Week ending Jun 12: Very poor 0%, Poor 1%, Fair 5%, Good 87%, Excellent 7% — good+excellent 94% (5-yr avg 88%, last year 85%)Week ending Jun 19: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 6%, Good 88%, Excellent 6% — good+excellent 94% (5-yr avg 85%, last year 87%)Week ending Jun 26: Very poor 0%, Poor 1%, Fair 8%, Good 83%, Excellent 8% — good+excellent 91% (5-yr avg 85%, last year 88%)Week ending Jul 3: Very poor 0%, Poor 2%, Fair 7%, Good 80%, Excellent 11% — good+excellent 91% (5-yr avg 88%, last year 95%)Week ending Jul 10: Very poor 0%, Poor 1%, Fair 5%, Good 80%, Excellent 14% — good+excellent 94% (5-yr avg 87%, last year 96%)Week ending Jul 17: Very poor 0%, Poor 1%, Fair 4%, Good 81%, Excellent 14% — good+excellent 95% (5-yr avg 85%, last year 95%)Week ending Jul 24: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 2%, Good 87%, Excellent 11% — good+excellent 98% (5-yr avg 86%, last year 96%)Week ending Jul 31: Very poor 0%, Poor 2%, Fair 3%, Good 82%, Excellent 13% — good+excellent 95% (5-yr avg 88%, last year 93%)Week ending Aug 7: Very poor 0%, Poor 3%, Fair 5%, Good 75%, Excellent 17% — good+excellent 92% (5-yr avg 86%, last year 95%)Week ending Aug 14: Very poor 0%, Poor 3%, Fair 6%, Good 70%, Excellent 21% — good+excellent 91% (5-yr avg 86%, last year 94%)Week ending Aug 21: Very poor 0%, Poor 3%, Fair 8%, Good 73%, Excellent 16% — good+excellent 89% (5-yr avg 85%, last year 92%)Week ending Aug 28: Very poor 0%, Poor 1%, Fair 4%, Good 79%, Excellent 16% — good+excellent 95% (5-yr avg 83%, last year 92%)Week ending Sep 4: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 4%, Good 84%, Excellent 12% — good+excellent 96% (5-yr avg 83%, last year 90%)Week ending Sep 11: Very poor 0%, Poor 1%, Fair 5%, Good 83%, Excellent 11% — good+excellent 94% (5-yr avg 82%, last year 86%)Week ending Sep 18: Very poor 0%, Poor 1%, Fair 5%, Good 82%, Excellent 12% — good+excellent 94% (5-yr avg —, last year 86%)Harvest begins — week ending Jul 17Harvest beginsUSDA forecast — week ending Sep 18USDA forecastJun 5Jun 19Jul 3Jul 17Jul 31Aug 14Aug 28Sep 11
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 94% good or excellent, week ending Sep 18. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Planted, 2022

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Wisconsin potato planted, 20220%50%100%Planted, week ending Apr 10: 0% (5-yr avg 1%, last year 5%)Planted, week ending Apr 17: 1% (5-yr avg 6%, last year 14%)Planted, week ending Apr 24: 13% (5-yr avg 18%, last year 34%)Planted, week ending May 1: 31% (5-yr avg 35%, last year 56%)Planted, week ending May 8: 50% (5-yr avg 54%, last year 74%)Planted, week ending May 15: 69% (5-yr avg 73%, last year 89%)Planted, week ending May 22: 80% (5-yr avg 86%, last year 96%)Planted, week ending May 29: 87% (5-yr avg 92%, last year 98%)Planted, week ending Jun 5: 92% (5-yr avg 96%, last year 100%)Planted, week ending Jun 12: 96% (5-yr avg 98%, last year 100%)Planted, week ending Jun 19: 99% (5-yr avg 100%, last year 100%)Apr 10Apr 24May 8May 22Jun 5Jun 19
This year5-yr avgLast year

Planted: 99% as of Jun 19 (5-yr avg 100%).

Field progress

Harvested, 2022

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Wisconsin potato harvested, 20220%50%100%Harvested, week ending Jul 10: 0% (5-yr avg 0%, last year 1%)Harvested, week ending Jul 17: 2% (5-yr avg 1%, last year 3%)Harvested, week ending Jul 24: 5% (5-yr avg 4%, last year 5%)Harvested, week ending Jul 31: 7% (5-yr avg 7%, last year 8%)Harvested, week ending Aug 7: 10% (5-yr avg 11%, last year 13%)Harvested, week ending Aug 14: 12% (5-yr avg 16%, last year 19%)Harvested, week ending Aug 21: 15% (5-yr avg 20%, last year 23%)Harvested, week ending Aug 28: 22% (5-yr avg 24%, last year 27%)Harvested, week ending Sep 4: 27% (5-yr avg 30%, last year 32%)Harvested, week ending Sep 11: 36% (5-yr avg 38%, last year 39%)Harvested, week ending Sep 18: 45% (5-yr avg 47%, last year 50%)Harvested, week ending Sep 25: 56% (5-yr avg 60%, last year 61%)Harvested, week ending Oct 2: 65% (5-yr avg 70%, last year 70%)Harvested, week ending Oct 9: 78% (5-yr avg 80%, last year 80%)Harvested, week ending Oct 16: 92% (5-yr avg 88%, last year 91%)Harvested, week ending Oct 23: 95% (5-yr avg 94%, last year 98%)Harvested, week ending Oct 30: 96% (5-yr avg 98%, last year 100%)Jul 10Jul 31Aug 21Sep 11Oct 2Oct 23
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 96% as of Oct 30 (5-yr avg 98%).

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

Wisconsin potato crop: USDA first forecast vs final010203040million cwt2014: no forecast · final 26.2 million cwt20142015: no forecast · final 29.6 million cwt20152016: no forecast · final 29.6 million cwt20162017: no forecast · final 29.8 million cwt20172018: no forecast · final 27.1 million cwt20182019: Nov forecast 29.0 million cwt · final 27.5 million cwt (-5.2%)−5.2%20192020: Nov forecast 28.3 million cwt · final 27.5 million cwt (-2.8%)−2.8%20202021: Nov forecast 31.2 million cwt · final 28.6 million cwt (-8.2%)−8.2%20212022: Nov forecast 27.6 million cwt · final 26.2 million cwt (-5.1%)−5.1%20222023: Nov forecast 29.8 million cwt · final 28.4 million cwt (-4.9%)−4.9%20232024: Nov forecast 25.1 million cwt · final 26.4 million cwt (+5.3%)+5.3%20242025: Nov forecast 28.1 million cwt · final 29.1 million cwt (+3.6%)+3.6%2025
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (million cwt)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
202528.1 November29.1+3.6%$466M7.0%
202425.1 November26.4+5.3%$407M6.3%
202329.8 November28.4−4.9%$439M6.4%
202227.6 November26.2−5.1%$409M6.5%
202131.2 November28.6−8.2%$372M6.9%
202028.3 November27.5−2.8%$336M6.6%
201929.0 November27.5−5.2%$324M6.5%
2018—27.1—$285M6.0%
2017—29.8—$324M6.6%
2016—29.6—$343M6.6%
2015—29.6—$287M6.6%
2014—26.2—$273M5.8%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

Get the Weekly Market Brief

Price moves, freight signals, and the produce stories that matter — one email, every week. Built for buyers, category managers, and brokers.

Subscribe free →