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Wisconsin · crop watch

Wisconsin potato crop

USDA last rated the 2024 Wisconsin potato crop for the week ending Sep 15, when 88% was good or excellent. Harvest stood at 98% complete (five-year average 93%). USDA's November forecast puts the 2024 crop at 25.1 million cwt, down 11.5% from last year's final of 28.4.

Last rated week ending Sep 15, 2024

Good to excellent · last reading

88%of the crop

Share of the 2024 crop rated good or excellent for the week ending Sep 15.

▲

98%

Harvested

+5 points against the five-year pace of 93%.

▲

28.1

million cwt, 2025 forecast

+6.6% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Latest USDA forecast, November 2025

Wisconsin potato forecast up 6.6% on year

USDA's November 2025 forecast puts the Wisconsin potato crop at 28.1 million cwt, up 6.6% from last year's final total of 26.4 million cwt. That is still shy of the 28.4 million cwt final logged two years ago. Past November forecasts in Wisconsin have typically overshot, finishing an average of 2.1% smaller once USDA issues its final number, so this initial 28.1 million cwt figure could ease somewhat by the time the crop is fully accounted for. Watch USDA's end-of-season report for the final tally against this forecast.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Forecast reliability

±5.4%

Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 5 completed seasons.

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2024

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

Wisconsin potato crop condition, 20240%25%50%75%100%Week ending May 19: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 13%, Good 82%, Excellent 5% — good+excellent 87% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending May 26: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 13%, Good 83%, Excellent 4% — good+excellent 87% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Jun 2: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 15%, Good 80%, Excellent 5% — good+excellent 85% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Jun 9: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 15%, Good 79%, Excellent 6% — good+excellent 85% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Jun 16: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 7%, Good 85%, Excellent 8% — good+excellent 93% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Jun 23: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 7%, Good 85%, Excellent 8% — good+excellent 93% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Jun 30: Very poor 1%, Poor 1%, Fair 10%, Good 78%, Excellent 10% — good+excellent 88% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Jul 7: Very poor 1%, Poor 2%, Fair 7%, Good 85%, Excellent 5% — good+excellent 90% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Jul 14: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 13%, Good 84%, Excellent 3% — good+excellent 87% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Jul 21: Very poor 1%, Poor 1%, Fair 9%, Good 84%, Excellent 5% — good+excellent 89% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Jul 28: Very poor 1%, Poor 1%, Fair 8%, Good 84%, Excellent 6% — good+excellent 90% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Aug 4: Very poor 1%, Poor 1%, Fair 7%, Good 83%, Excellent 8% — good+excellent 91% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Aug 11: Very poor 1%, Poor 1%, Fair 7%, Good 83%, Excellent 8% — good+excellent 91% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Aug 18: Very poor 1%, Poor 1%, Fair 6%, Good 85%, Excellent 7% — good+excellent 92% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Aug 25: Very poor 1%, Poor 2%, Fair 7%, Good 86%, Excellent 4% — good+excellent 90% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Sep 1: Very poor 1%, Poor 2%, Fair 7%, Good 86%, Excellent 4% — good+excellent 90% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Sep 8: Very poor 1%, Poor 3%, Fair 8%, Good 84%, Excellent 4% — good+excellent 88% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Sep 15: Very poor 0%, Poor 1%, Fair 11%, Good 86%, Excellent 2% — good+excellent 88% (5-yr avg —, last year —)−5 pts — week ending Jun 30−5 ptsHarvest begins — week ending Jul 14Harvest beginsUSDA forecast — week ending Sep 15USDA forecastMay 19Jun 9Jun 30Jul 21Aug 11Sep 1
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 88% good or excellent, week ending Sep 15. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Planted, 2024

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Wisconsin potato planted, 20240%50%100%Planted, week ending Mar 31: 0% (5-yr avg 0%, last year 0%)Planted, week ending Apr 7: 0% (5-yr avg 1%, last year 0%)Planted, week ending Apr 14: 11% (5-yr avg 4%, last year 6%)Planted, week ending Apr 21: 25% (5-yr avg 13%, last year 12%)Planted, week ending Apr 28: 75% (5-yr avg 30%, last year 25%)Planted, week ending May 5: 77% (5-yr avg 52%, last year 42%)Planted, week ending May 12: 80% (5-yr avg 66%, last year 58%)Planted, week ending May 19: 82% (5-yr avg 81%, last year 77%)Planted, week ending May 26: 94% (5-yr avg 89%, last year 88%)Planted, week ending Jun 2: 98% (5-yr avg 94%, last year 95%)Mar 31Apr 14Apr 28May 12May 26
This year5-yr avgLast year

Planted: 98% as of Jun 2 (5-yr avg 94%).

Field progress

Harvested, 2024

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Wisconsin potato harvested, 20240%50%100%Harvested, week ending Jul 14: 2% (5-yr avg 1%, last year 0%)Harvested, week ending Jul 21: 9% (5-yr avg 2%, last year 0%)Harvested, week ending Jul 28: 11% (5-yr avg 4%, last year 0%)Harvested, week ending Aug 4: 13% (5-yr avg 7%, last year 4%)Harvested, week ending Aug 11: 17% (5-yr avg 12%, last year 9%)Harvested, week ending Aug 18: 20% (5-yr avg 17%, last year 16%)Harvested, week ending Aug 25: 25% (5-yr avg 21%, last year 21%)Harvested, week ending Sep 1: 34% (5-yr avg 27%, last year 31%)Harvested, week ending Sep 8: 42% (5-yr avg 35%, last year 40%)Harvested, week ending Sep 15: 51% (5-yr avg 45%, last year 50%)Harvested, week ending Sep 22: 62% (5-yr avg 55%, last year 62%)Harvested, week ending Sep 29: 75% (5-yr avg 66%, last year 70%)Harvested, week ending Oct 6: 86% (5-yr avg 75%, last year 78%)Harvested, week ending Oct 13: 92% (5-yr avg 85%, last year 87%)Harvested, week ending Oct 20: 98% (5-yr avg 93%, last year 94%)Jul 14Jul 28Aug 11Aug 25Sep 8Sep 22Oct 6Oct 20
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 98% as of Oct 20 (5-yr avg 93%).

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

Wisconsin potato crop: USDA first forecast vs final010203040million cwt2014: no forecast · final 26.2 million cwt20142015: no forecast · final 29.6 million cwt20152016: no forecast · final 29.6 million cwt20162017: no forecast · final 29.8 million cwt20172018: no forecast · final 27.1 million cwt20182019: Nov forecast 29.0 million cwt · final 27.5 million cwt (-5.2%)−5.2%20192020: Nov forecast 28.3 million cwt · final 27.5 million cwt (-2.8%)−2.8%20202021: Nov forecast 31.2 million cwt · final 28.6 million cwt (-8.2%)−8.2%20212022: Nov forecast 27.6 million cwt · final 26.2 million cwt (-5.1%)−5.1%20222023: Nov forecast 29.8 million cwt · final 28.4 million cwt (-4.9%)−4.9%20232024: Nov forecast 25.1 million cwt · final 26.4 million cwt (+5.3%)+5.3%20242025: Nov forecast 28.1 million cwt · final 29.1 million cwt (+3.6%)+3.6%2025
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (million cwt)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
202528.1 November29.1+3.6%$466M7.0%
202425.1 November26.4+5.3%$407M6.3%
202329.8 November28.4−4.9%$439M6.4%
202227.6 November26.2−5.1%$409M6.5%
202131.2 November28.6−8.2%$372M6.9%
202028.3 November27.5−2.8%$336M6.6%
201929.0 November27.5−5.2%$324M6.5%
2018—27.1—$285M6.0%
2017—29.8—$324M6.6%
2016—29.6—$343M6.6%
2015—29.6—$287M6.6%
2014—26.2—$273M5.8%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Updated September 29, 2026

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