Wisconsin · crop watch
Wisconsin potato crop
USDA last rated the 2024 Wisconsin potato crop for the week ending Sep 15, when 88% was good or excellent. Harvest stood at 98% complete (five-year average 93%). USDA's November forecast puts the 2024 crop at 25.1 million cwt, down 11.5% from last year's final of 28.4.
Good to excellent · last reading
Share of the 2024 crop rated good or excellent for the week ending Sep 15.
98%
Harvested
+5 points against the five-year pace of 93%.
28.1
million cwt, 2025 forecast
+6.6% against last year's final crop.
Analysis
Latest USDA forecast, November 2025
Wisconsin potato forecast up 6.6% on year
USDA's November 2025 forecast puts the Wisconsin potato crop at 28.1 million cwt, up 6.6% from last year's final total of 26.4 million cwt. That is still shy of the 28.4 million cwt final logged two years ago. Past November forecasts in Wisconsin have typically overshot, finishing an average of 2.1% smaller once USDA issues its final number, so this initial 28.1 million cwt figure could ease somewhat by the time the crop is fully accounted for. Watch USDA's end-of-season report for the final tally against this forecast.
Forecast reliability
±5.4%
Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 5 completed seasons.
Weekly ratings
Crop condition, 2024
Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.
Latest: 88% good or excellent, week ending Sep 15. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.
Field progress
Planted, 2024
This season against the five-year average pace and last year.
Planted: 98% as of Jun 2 (5-yr avg 94%).
Field progress
Harvested, 2024
This season against the five-year average pace and last year.
Harvested: 98% as of Oct 20 (5-yr avg 93%).
Forecast record
How the forecast moved to final
Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.
| Crop year | First forecast (million cwt) | Final | Revision | Crop value | Share of US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 28.1 November | 29.1 | +3.6% | $466M | 7.0% |
| 2024 | 25.1 November | 26.4 | +5.3% | $407M | 6.3% |
| 2023 | 29.8 November | 28.4 | −4.9% | $439M | 6.4% |
| 2022 | 27.6 November | 26.2 | −5.1% | $409M | 6.5% |
| 2021 | 31.2 November | 28.6 | −8.2% | $372M | 6.9% |
| 2020 | 28.3 November | 27.5 | −2.8% | $336M | 6.6% |
| 2019 | 29.0 November | 27.5 | −5.2% | $324M | 6.5% |
| 2018 | — | 27.1 | — | $285M | 6.0% |
| 2017 | — | 29.8 | — | $324M | 6.6% |
| 2016 | — | 29.6 | — | $343M | 6.6% |
| 2015 | — | 29.6 | — | $287M | 6.6% |
| 2014 | — | 26.2 | — | $273M | 5.8% |
Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.