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Wisconsin · crop watch

Wisconsin potato crop

Harvest stood at 97% complete (five-year average 97%). USDA's November forecast puts the 2023 crop at 29.8 million cwt, up 13.7% from last year's final of 26.2.

November 2025 forecast

2025 USDA forecast

28.1million cwt

USDA does not publish weekly condition ratings for Wisconsin potato; the annual forecast and final estimate are the official measures.

=

97%

Harvested

0 points against the five-year pace of 97%.

▲

29.1

million cwt, 2025 final

+3.6% against that season's first forecast.

Analysis

Latest USDA forecast, November 2025

Wisconsin potato forecast up 6.6% on year

USDA's November 2025 forecast puts the Wisconsin potato crop at 28.1 million cwt, up 6.6% from last year's final total of 26.4 million cwt. That is still shy of the 28.4 million cwt final logged two years ago. Past November forecasts in Wisconsin have typically overshot, finishing an average of 2.1% smaller once USDA issues its final number, so this initial 28.1 million cwt figure could ease somewhat by the time the crop is fully accounted for. Watch USDA's end-of-season report for the final tally against this forecast.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Forecast reliability

±5.4%

Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 5 completed seasons.

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2023

No weekly ratings published for 2023.

Field progress

Planted, 2023

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Wisconsin potato planted, 20230%50%100%Planted, week ending Apr 9: 0% (5-yr avg 1%, last year 0%)Planted, week ending Apr 16: 8% (5-yr avg 4%, last year 1%)Planted, week ending Apr 23: 13% (5-yr avg 15%, last year 11%)Planted, week ending Apr 30: 30% (5-yr avg 32%, last year 28%)Planted, week ending May 7: 47% (5-yr avg 51%, last year 47%)Planted, week ending May 14: 62% (5-yr avg 66%, last year 66%)Planted, week ending May 21: 83% (5-yr avg 82%, last year 78%)Planted, week ending May 28: 90% (5-yr avg 89%, last year 86%)Planted, week ending Jun 4: 97% (5-yr avg 94%, last year 91%)Apr 9Apr 23May 7May 21Jun 4
This year5-yr avgLast year

Planted: 97% as of Jun 4 (5-yr avg 94%).

Field progress

Harvested, 2023

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Wisconsin potato harvested, 20230%50%100%Harvested, week ending Jul 30: 0% (5-yr avg 6%, last year 7%)Harvested, week ending Aug 6: 5% (5-yr avg 9%, last year 10%)Harvested, week ending Aug 13: 11% (5-yr avg 14%, last year 12%)Harvested, week ending Aug 20: 18% (5-yr avg 18%, last year 15%)Harvested, week ending Aug 27: 22% (5-yr avg 22%, last year 21%)Harvested, week ending Sep 3: 35% (5-yr avg 27%, last year 26%)Harvested, week ending Sep 10: 42% (5-yr avg 35%, last year 35%)Harvested, week ending Sep 17: 53% (5-yr avg 46%, last year 44%)Harvested, week ending Sep 24: 65% (5-yr avg 56%, last year 54%)Harvested, week ending Oct 1: 72% (5-yr avg 66%, last year 64%)Harvested, week ending Oct 8: 80% (5-yr avg 76%, last year 76%)Harvested, week ending Oct 15: 90% (5-yr avg 87%, last year 90%)Harvested, week ending Oct 22: 95% (5-yr avg 94%, last year 95%)Harvested, week ending Oct 29: 97% (5-yr avg 97%, last year 96%)Jul 30Aug 13Aug 27Sep 10Sep 24Oct 8Oct 22
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 97% as of Oct 29 (5-yr avg 97%).

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

Wisconsin potato crop: USDA first forecast vs final010203040million cwt2014: no forecast · final 26.2 million cwt20142015: no forecast · final 29.6 million cwt20152016: no forecast · final 29.6 million cwt20162017: no forecast · final 29.8 million cwt20172018: no forecast · final 27.1 million cwt20182019: Nov forecast 29.0 million cwt · final 27.5 million cwt (-5.2%)−5.2%20192020: Nov forecast 28.3 million cwt · final 27.5 million cwt (-2.8%)−2.8%20202021: Nov forecast 31.2 million cwt · final 28.6 million cwt (-8.2%)−8.2%20212022: Nov forecast 27.6 million cwt · final 26.2 million cwt (-5.1%)−5.1%20222023: Nov forecast 29.8 million cwt · final 28.4 million cwt (-4.9%)−4.9%20232024: Nov forecast 25.1 million cwt · final 26.4 million cwt (+5.3%)+5.3%20242025: Nov forecast 28.1 million cwt · final 29.1 million cwt (+3.6%)+3.6%2025
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (million cwt)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
202528.1 November29.1+3.6%$466M7.0%
202425.1 November26.4+5.3%$407M6.3%
202329.8 November28.4−4.9%$439M6.4%
202227.6 November26.2−5.1%$409M6.5%
202131.2 November28.6−8.2%$372M6.9%
202028.3 November27.5−2.8%$336M6.6%
201929.0 November27.5−5.2%$324M6.5%
2018—27.1—$285M6.0%
2017—29.8—$324M6.6%
2016—29.6—$343M6.6%
2015—29.6—$287M6.6%
2014—26.2—$273M5.8%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

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