Pennsylvania · crop watch
Pennsylvania potato crop
USDA's December forecast puts the 2012 crop at 2.2 million cwt, up 6.0% from last year's final of 2.0.
December 2012 forecast
2012 USDA forecast
2.2million cwt
USDA does not publish weekly condition ratings for Pennsylvania potato; the annual forecast and final estimate are the official measures.
Forecast reliability
±4.0%
Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 1 completed season.
Forecast record
How the forecast moved to final
Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.
First forecastFinalFinal pending
| Crop year | First forecast (million cwt) | Final | Revision | Crop value | Share of US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | — | 1.5 | — | $18M | 0.3% |
| 2014 | — | 1.4 | — | $19M | 0.3% |
| 2013 | — | 1.9 | — | $31M | 0.4% |
| 2012 | 2.2 December | 2.2 | +4.0% | $36M | 0.5% |
| 2011 | — | 2.0 | — | $25M | 0.5% |
| 2010 | — | 2.2 | — | $27M | 0.5% |
Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.