Montana · crop watch
Montana potato crop
USDA's December forecast puts the 2012 crop at 3.7 million cwt, down 1.3% from last year's final of 3.8.
2012 USDA forecast
USDA does not publish weekly condition ratings for Montana potato; the annual forecast and final estimate are the official measures.
Forecast reliability
±0.0%
Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 1 completed season.
Forecast record
How the forecast moved to final
Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.
| Crop year | First forecast (million cwt) | Final | Revision | Crop value | Share of US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | — | 3.9 | — | $50M | 0.9% |
| 2017 | — | 3.8 | — | $48M | 0.8% |
| 2016 | — | 3.7 | — | $47M | 0.8% |
| 2015 | — | 3.5 | — | $46M | 0.8% |
| 2014 | — | 3.6 | — | $46M | 0.8% |
| 2013 | — | 3.4 | — | $44M | 0.8% |
| 2012 | 3.7 December | 3.7 | 0.0% | $45M | 0.8% |
| 2011 | — | 3.8 | — | $47M | 0.9% |
| 2010 | — | 3.7 | — | $42M | 0.9% |
Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.