Florida · crop watch
Florida potato crop
USDA's November forecast puts the 2025 crop at 4.6 million cwt, up 1.0% from last year's final of 4.6.
2025 USDA forecast
USDA does not publish weekly condition ratings for Florida potato; the annual forecast and final estimate are the official measures.
4.6
million cwt, 2025 final
0.0% against that season's first forecast.
Analysis
Latest USDA forecast, November 2025
Florida potato forecast flat with last year
USDA's November 2025 forecast puts Florida's potato crop at 4.6 million cwt, up 1% from last year's final total, which also came in at 4.6 million cwt. That leaves the crop well below the 5.9 million cwt harvested two years ago. USDA's forecasts for Florida potatoes have typically run 2.2% below the final number, meaning the crop has historically finished larger than the first call. With volume tracking close to last year, buyers should watch for the final tally to confirm whether that upward pattern holds this season.
Forecast reliability
±3.1%
Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 5 completed seasons.
Forecast record
How the forecast moved to final
Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.
| Crop year | First forecast (million cwt) | Final | Revision | Crop value | Share of US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.6 November | 4.6 | 0.0% | $108M | 1.1% |
| 2024 | 4.1 November | 4.6 | +11.8% | $112M | 1.1% |
| 2023 | 6.1 November | 5.9 | −2.0% | $118M | 1.3% |
| 2022 | 5.0 November | 5.0 | +1.4% | $111M | 1.2% |
| 2021 | 5.4 November | 5.4 | +0.5% | $98M | 1.3% |
| 2020 | 5.5 November | 5.3 | −2.7% | $108M | 1.3% |
| 2019 | 6.8 November | 7.0 | +1.9% | $148M | 1.6% |
| 2018 | — | 5.5 | — | $90M | 1.2% |
| 2017 | — | 7.2 | — | $125M | 1.6% |
| 2016 | — | 5.4 | — | $87M | 1.2% |
| 2015 | — | 6.8 | — | $108M | 1.5% |
| 2014 | — | 7.0 | — | $132M | 1.6% |
Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.