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Vermont · crop watch

Vermont apple crop

USDA last rated the 2022 Vermont apple crop for the week ending Sep 25, when 100% was good or excellent. Harvest stood at 100% complete (five-year average 97%). USDA's August forecast puts the 2018 crop at 20.1 million lb, down 35.0% from last year's final of 30.9.

Last rated week ending Sep 25, 2022

Good to excellent · last reading

100%of the crop

Share of the 2022 crop rated good or excellent for the week ending Sep 25.

▲

100%

Harvested

+3 points against the five-year pace of 97%.

▼

20.1

million lb, 2018 forecast

−35.0% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Week ending Sep 27

Vermont apples rated fully good to excellent

Vermont's apple crop was rated 100% good to excellent for the week ending September 27, 2026, unchanged from the prior week, with three-quarters of that in the excellent category. Harvest reached 71% complete, ahead of the five-year average of 56% and close to last year's 69% pace at the same point. Full bloom, petal fall and fruit set all ran ahead of or level with last year's timing earlier in the season. An August 2018 forecast for the crop put output at 20.1 million pounds, down 35% from the prior year's final total of 30.9 million pounds.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2022

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

2026202520242023202220212020
Vermont apple crop condition, 20220%25%50%75%100%Week ending Jun 12: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 54%, Good 23%, Excellent 23% — good+excellent 46% (5-yr avg —, last year 100%)Week ending Jun 19: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 0%, Excellent 100% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 60%, last year 100%)Week ending Jun 26: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 15%, Excellent 85% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 80%, last year 100%)Week ending Jul 3: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 16%, Good 59%, Excellent 25% — good+excellent 84% (5-yr avg 81%, last year 100%)Week ending Jul 10: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 17%, Good 57%, Excellent 26% — good+excellent 83% (5-yr avg 80%, last year 100%)Week ending Jul 17: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 95%, Excellent 5% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 74%, last year 50%)Week ending Jul 24: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 95%, Excellent 5% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 83%, last year 100%)Week ending Jul 31: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 95%, Excellent 5% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 83%, last year 100%)Week ending Aug 7: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 90%, Excellent 10% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 92%, last year 100%)Week ending Aug 14: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 95%, Excellent 5% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 90%, last year 100%)Week ending Aug 21: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 95%, Excellent 5% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 96%, last year 100%)Week ending Aug 28: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 95%, Excellent 5% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 97%, last year 100%)Week ending Sep 4: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 95%, Excellent 5% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 94%, last year 100%)Week ending Sep 11: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 95%, Excellent 5% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 95%, last year 100%)Week ending Sep 18: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 100%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 99%, last year 100%)Week ending Sep 25: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 100%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg —, last year —)−16 pts — week ending Jul 3−16 ptsHarvest begins — week ending Jul 31Harvest beginsUSDA forecast — week ending Aug 14USDA forecastJun 12Jun 26Jul 10Jul 24Aug 7Aug 21Sep 4Sep 18
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 100% good or excellent, week ending Sep 25. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Green tip, 2022

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Vermont apple green tip, 20220%50%100%Green tip, week ending Apr 10: 4% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Green tip, week ending Apr 17: 10% (5-yr avg —, last year 30%)Green tip, week ending Apr 24: 25% (5-yr avg 49%, last year 49%)Green tip, week ending May 1: 75% (5-yr avg 71%, last year 73%)Green tip, week ending May 8: 94% (5-yr avg 81%, last year 83%)Green tip, week ending May 15: 100% (5-yr avg 92%, last year 98%)Green tip, week ending May 22: 100% (5-yr avg 99%, last year 100%)Green tip, week ending May 29: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year 100%)Green tip, week ending Jun 5: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year 100%)Apr 10Apr 24May 8May 22Jun 5
This year5-yr avgLast year

Green tip: 100% as of Jun 5.

Field progress

Pink, 2022

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Vermont apple pink, 20220%50%100%Pink, week ending Apr 24: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending May 1: 3% (5-yr avg —, last year 30%)Pink, week ending May 8: 14% (5-yr avg 36%, last year 48%)Pink, week ending May 15: 80% (5-yr avg 64%, last year 74%)Pink, week ending May 22: 100% (5-yr avg 86%, last year 87%)Pink, week ending May 29: 100% (5-yr avg 94%, last year 94%)Pink, week ending Jun 5: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year 99%)Apr 24May 1May 8May 15May 22May 29Jun 5
This year5-yr avgLast year

Pink: 100% as of Jun 5.

Field progress

Full bloom, 2022

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Vermont apple full bloom, 20220%50%100%Full bloom, week ending May 8: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending May 15: 40% (5-yr avg —, last year 43%)Full bloom, week ending May 22: 95% (5-yr avg 46%, last year 70%)Full bloom, week ending May 29: 99% (5-yr avg 71%, last year 82%)Full bloom, week ending Jun 5: 100% (5-yr avg 82%, last year 98%)Full bloom, week ending Jun 12: 100% (5-yr avg 88%, last year 100%)May 8May 15May 22May 29Jun 5Jun 12
This year5-yr avgLast year

Full bloom: 100% as of Jun 12 (5-yr avg 88%).

Field progress

Petal fall, 2022

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Vermont apple petal fall, 20220%50%100%Petal fall, week ending May 8: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Petal fall, week ending May 15: 3% (5-yr avg —, last year 0%)Petal fall, week ending May 22: 43% (5-yr avg —, last year 43%)Petal fall, week ending May 29: 84% (5-yr avg 44%, last year 59%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 5: 100% (5-yr avg 65%, last year 94%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 12: 100% (5-yr avg 79%, last year 100%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 19: 100% (5-yr avg 89%, last year 100%)May 8May 15May 22May 29Jun 5Jun 12Jun 19
This year5-yr avgLast year

Petal fall: 100% as of Jun 19 (5-yr avg 89%).

Field progress

Fruit set, 2022

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Vermont apple fruit set, 20220%50%100%Fruit set, week ending May 22: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Fruit set, week ending May 29: 10% (5-yr avg —, last year 51%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 5: 50% (5-yr avg 43%, last year 94%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 12: 53% (5-yr avg 59%, last year 100%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 19: 92% (5-yr avg 71%, last year 100%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 26: 100% (5-yr avg 84%, last year 100%)May 22May 29Jun 5Jun 12Jun 19Jun 26
This year5-yr avgLast year

Fruit set: 100% as of Jun 26 (5-yr avg 84%).

Field progress

Harvested, 2022

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Vermont apple harvested, 20220%50%100%Harvested, week ending Jul 31: 1% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Aug 7: 1% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Aug 14: 5% (5-yr avg 1%, last year 2%)Harvested, week ending Aug 21: 14% (5-yr avg 5%, last year 11%)Harvested, week ending Aug 28: 15% (5-yr avg 13%, last year 23%)Harvested, week ending Sep 4: 26% (5-yr avg 24%, last year 46%)Harvested, week ending Sep 11: 27% (5-yr avg 30%, last year 50%)Harvested, week ending Sep 18: 32% (5-yr avg 35%, last year 50%)Harvested, week ending Sep 25: 38% (5-yr avg 47%, last year 50%)Harvested, week ending Oct 2: 57% (5-yr avg 65%, last year 64%)Harvested, week ending Oct 9: 71% (5-yr avg 79%, last year 81%)Harvested, week ending Oct 16: 100% (5-yr avg 90%, last year 84%)Harvested, week ending Oct 23: 100% (5-yr avg 97%, last year 93%)Jul 31Aug 14Aug 28Sep 11Sep 25Oct 9Oct 23
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 100% as of Oct 23 (5-yr avg 97%).

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

Vermont apple crop: USDA first forecast vs final010203040million lb2010: no forecast · final 35.0 million lb20102011: no forecast · final 33.5 million lb20112012: no forecast · final 25.5 million lb20122013: no forecast · final 34.0 million lb20132014: no forecast · final 29.4 million lb20142015: no forecast · final 38.3 million lb20152016: no forecast · final 30.0 million lb20162017: no forecast · final 30.9 million lb20172018: Aug forecast 20.1 million lb · final pending2018
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (million lb)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
201820.1 Augustpending———
2017—30.9—$23M0.3%
2016—30.0—$20M0.3%
2015—38.3—$16M0.4%
2014—29.4—$11M0.2%
2013—34.0—$14M0.3%
2012—25.5—$10M0.3%
2011—33.5—$8M0.4%
2010—35.0—$10M0.4%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

Vermont apple crop: fresh market vs processing010203040million lb2010: fresh 27.0, processing 6.0, not sold 0.0 million lb — 82% fresh20102011: fresh 16.0, processing 10.5, not sold 0.5 million lb — 59% fresh20112012: fresh 17.5, processing 6.5, not sold 0.0 million lb — 73% fresh20122013: fresh 26.0, processing 5.0, not sold 2.5 million lb — 78% fresh20132014: fresh 23.8, processing 4.4, not sold 0.1 million lb — 84% fresh20142015: fresh 32.7, processing 5.3, not sold 0.3 million lb — 85% fresh20152016: fresh 24.0, processing 5.8, not sold 0.2 million lb — 80% fresh20162017: fresh 24.3, processing 6.4, not sold 0.2 million lb — 79% fresh2017
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

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