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Vermont · crop watch

Vermont apple crop

USDA last rated the 2024 Vermont apple crop for the week ending Sep 22, when 100% was good or excellent, versus 35% at this point last year. Harvest stood at 100% complete (five-year average 94%). USDA's August forecast puts the 2018 crop at 20.1 million lb, down 35.0% from last year's final of 30.9.

Last rated week ending Sep 22, 2024

Good to excellent · last reading

100%of the crop

Share of the 2024 crop rated good or excellent for the week ending Sep 22.

▲

100%

Harvested

+6 points against the five-year pace of 94%.

▼

20.1

million lb, 2018 forecast

−35.0% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Week ending Sep 27

Vermont apples rated fully good to excellent

Vermont's apple crop was rated 100% good to excellent for the week ending September 27, 2026, unchanged from the prior week, with three-quarters of that in the excellent category. Harvest reached 71% complete, ahead of the five-year average of 56% and close to last year's 69% pace at the same point. Full bloom, petal fall and fruit set all ran ahead of or level with last year's timing earlier in the season. An August 2018 forecast for the crop put output at 20.1 million pounds, down 35% from the prior year's final total of 30.9 million pounds.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2024

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

2026202520242023202220212020
Vermont apple crop condition, 20240%25%50%75%100%Week ending Apr 14: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 100%, Good 0%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Jun 16: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 100%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 40%, last year 0%)Week ending Jun 23: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 100%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 44%, last year 0%)Week ending Jun 30: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 100%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 62%, last year 0%)Week ending Jul 7: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 100%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 63%, last year 0%)Week ending Jul 14: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 100%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 57%, last year 0%)Week ending Jul 21: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 10%, Good 90%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 90% (5-yr avg 70%, last year 0%)Week ending Jul 28: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 100%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 69%, last year 0%)Week ending Aug 4: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 100%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 71%, last year 0%)Week ending Aug 11: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 100%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 74%, last year 0%)Week ending Aug 18: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 100%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 76%, last year 0%)Week ending Aug 25: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 95%, Excellent 5% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 77%, last year 0%)Week ending Sep 1: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 75%, Excellent 25% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 78%, last year 0%)Week ending Sep 8: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 50%, Excellent 50% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 80%, last year 0%)Week ending Sep 15: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 50%, Excellent 50% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 80%, last year 0%)Week ending Sep 22: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 71%, Excellent 29% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg —, last year 35%)−10 pts — week ending Jul 21−10 ptsUSDA forecast — week ending Aug 18USDA forecastHarvest begins — week ending Aug 25Harvest beginsApr 14Jun 23Jul 7Jul 21Aug 4Aug 18Sep 1Sep 15
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 100% good or excellent, week ending Sep 22. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Green tip, 2024

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Vermont apple green tip, 20240%50%100%Green tip, week ending Apr 14: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Green tip, week ending Apr 21: 25% (5-yr avg 35%, last year 19%)Green tip, week ending Apr 28: 50% (5-yr avg 66%, last year 49%)Green tip, week ending May 5: 100% (5-yr avg 88%, last year 78%)Green tip, week ending May 12: 100% (5-yr avg 97%, last year 96%)Green tip, week ending May 19: 100% (5-yr avg 100%, last year 100%)Green tip, week ending May 26: 100% (5-yr avg 100%, last year 100%)Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26
This year5-yr avgLast year

Green tip: 100% as of May 26 (5-yr avg 100%).

Field progress

Pink, 2024

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Vermont apple pink, 20240%50%100%Pink, week ending Apr 21: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending Apr 28: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending May 5: 10% (5-yr avg 20%, last year 21%)Pink, week ending May 12: 70% (5-yr avg 58%, last year 61%)Pink, week ending May 19: 96% (5-yr avg 85%, last year 93%)Pink, week ending May 26: 98% (5-yr avg 95%, last year 100%)Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26
This year5-yr avgLast year

Pink: 98% as of May 26 (5-yr avg 95%).

Field progress

Full bloom, 2024

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Vermont apple full bloom, 20240%50%100%Full bloom, week ending May 12: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending May 19: 28% (5-yr avg 44%, last year 63%)Full bloom, week ending May 26: 80% (5-yr avg 78%, last year 89%)Full bloom, week ending Jun 2: 95% (5-yr avg 90%, last year 99%)Full bloom, week ending Jun 9: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year —)May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9
This year5-yr avgLast year

Full bloom: 100% as of Jun 9.

Field progress

Petal fall, 2024

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Vermont apple petal fall, 20240%50%100%Petal fall, week ending May 19: 1% (5-yr avg —, last year 9%)Petal fall, week ending May 26: 65% (5-yr avg 44%, last year 61%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 2: 90% (5-yr avg 73%, last year 92%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 9: 100% (5-yr avg 85%, last year 99%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 16: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year —)May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
This year5-yr avgLast year

Petal fall: 100% as of Jun 16.

Field progress

Fruit set, 2024

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Vermont apple fruit set, 20240%50%100%Fruit set, week ending May 26: 35% (5-yr avg —, last year 1%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 2: 65% (5-yr avg 28%, last year 7%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 9: 91% (5-yr avg 48%, last year 41%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 16: 100% (5-yr avg 73%, last year 86%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 23: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Fruit set, week ending Jun 30: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year —)May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16Jun 23Jun 30
This year5-yr avgLast year

Fruit set: 100% as of Jun 30.

Field progress

Harvested, 2024

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Vermont apple harvested, 20240%50%100%Harvested, week ending Aug 4: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 0%)Harvested, week ending Aug 11: 0% (5-yr avg 1%, last year 0%)Harvested, week ending Aug 18: 0% (5-yr avg 4%, last year 1%)Harvested, week ending Aug 25: 1% (5-yr avg 10%, last year 2%)Harvested, week ending Sep 1: 19% (5-yr avg 18%, last year 7%)Harvested, week ending Sep 8: 40% (5-yr avg 27%, last year 17%)Harvested, week ending Sep 15: 60% (5-yr avg 32%, last year 27%)Harvested, week ending Sep 22: 72% (5-yr avg 39%, last year 34%)Harvested, week ending Sep 29: 75% (5-yr avg 53%, last year 49%)Harvested, week ending Oct 6: 92% (5-yr avg 70%, last year 62%)Harvested, week ending Oct 13: 96% (5-yr avg 84%, last year 76%)Harvested, week ending Oct 20: 100% (5-yr avg 94%, last year 84%)Aug 4Aug 18Sep 1Sep 15Sep 29Oct 13
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 100% as of Oct 20 (5-yr avg 94%).

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

Vermont apple crop: USDA first forecast vs final010203040million lb2010: no forecast · final 35.0 million lb20102011: no forecast · final 33.5 million lb20112012: no forecast · final 25.5 million lb20122013: no forecast · final 34.0 million lb20132014: no forecast · final 29.4 million lb20142015: no forecast · final 38.3 million lb20152016: no forecast · final 30.0 million lb20162017: no forecast · final 30.9 million lb20172018: Aug forecast 20.1 million lb · final pending2018
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (million lb)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
201820.1 Augustpending———
2017—30.9—$23M0.3%
2016—30.0—$20M0.3%
2015—38.3—$16M0.4%
2014—29.4—$11M0.2%
2013—34.0—$14M0.3%
2012—25.5—$10M0.3%
2011—33.5—$8M0.4%
2010—35.0—$10M0.4%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

Vermont apple crop: fresh market vs processing010203040million lb2010: fresh 27.0, processing 6.0, not sold 0.0 million lb — 82% fresh20102011: fresh 16.0, processing 10.5, not sold 0.5 million lb — 59% fresh20112012: fresh 17.5, processing 6.5, not sold 0.0 million lb — 73% fresh20122013: fresh 26.0, processing 5.0, not sold 2.5 million lb — 78% fresh20132014: fresh 23.8, processing 4.4, not sold 0.1 million lb — 84% fresh20142015: fresh 32.7, processing 5.3, not sold 0.3 million lb — 85% fresh20152016: fresh 24.0, processing 5.8, not sold 0.2 million lb — 80% fresh20162017: fresh 24.3, processing 6.4, not sold 0.2 million lb — 79% fresh2017
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

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