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Vermont · crop watch

Vermont apple crop

USDA last rated the 2025 Vermont apple crop for the week ending Sep 21, when 100% was good or excellent, versus 100% at this point last year. Harvest stood at 70% complete (five-year average 54%). USDA's August forecast puts the 2018 crop at 20.1 million lb, down 35.0% from last year's final of 30.9.

Last rated week ending Sep 21, 2025

Good to excellent · last reading

100%of the crop

Share of the 2025 crop rated good or excellent for the week ending Sep 21.

▲

70%

Harvested

+16 points against the five-year pace of 54%.

▼

20.1

million lb, 2018 forecast

−35.0% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Week ending Sep 27

Vermont apples rated fully good to excellent

Vermont's apple crop was rated 100% good to excellent for the week ending September 27, 2026, unchanged from the prior week, with three-quarters of that in the excellent category. Harvest reached 71% complete, ahead of the five-year average of 56% and close to last year's 69% pace at the same point. Full bloom, petal fall and fruit set all ran ahead of or level with last year's timing earlier in the season. An August 2018 forecast for the crop put output at 20.1 million pounds, down 35% from the prior year's final total of 30.9 million pounds.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2025

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

2026202520242023202220212020
Vermont apple crop condition, 20250%25%50%75%100%Week ending Jun 15: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 100%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 60%, last year 100%)Week ending Jun 22: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 50%, Excellent 50% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 64%, last year 100%)Week ending Jun 29: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 71%, Excellent 29% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 64%, last year 100%)Week ending Jul 6: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 91%, Excellent 9% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 65%, last year 100%)Week ending Jul 13: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 80%, Excellent 20% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 59%, last year 100%)Week ending Jul 20: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 30%, Excellent 70% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 68%, last year 90%)Week ending Jul 27: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 25%, Excellent 75% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 71%, last year 100%)Week ending Aug 3: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 25%, Excellent 75% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 72%, last year 100%)Week ending Aug 10: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 25%, Excellent 75% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 74%, last year 100%)Week ending Aug 17: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 25%, Excellent 75% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 76%, last year 100%)Week ending Aug 24: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 25%, Excellent 75% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 77%, last year 100%)Week ending Aug 31: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 20%, Excellent 80% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 78%, last year 100%)Week ending Sep 7: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 54%, Excellent 46% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 80%, last year 100%)Week ending Sep 14: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 20%, Excellent 80% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg 80%, last year 100%)Week ending Sep 21: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 0%, Good 20%, Excellent 80% — good+excellent 100% (5-yr avg —, last year 100%)USDA forecast — week ending Aug 17USDA forecastHarvest begins — week ending Aug 17Harvest beginsJun 15Jun 29Jul 13Jul 27Aug 10Aug 24Sep 7Sep 21
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 100% good or excellent, week ending Sep 21. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Green tip, 2025

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Vermont apple green tip, 20250%50%100%Green tip, week ending Apr 13: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Green tip, week ending Apr 20: 0% (5-yr avg 33%, last year 21%)Green tip, week ending Apr 27: 60% (5-yr avg 56%, last year 46%)Green tip, week ending May 4: 100% (5-yr avg 86%, last year 93%)Green tip, week ending May 11: 100% (5-yr avg 96%, last year 100%)Apr 13Apr 20Apr 27May 4May 11
This year5-yr avgLast year

Green tip: 100% as of May 11 (5-yr avg 96%).

Field progress

Pink, 2025

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Vermont apple pink, 20250%50%100%Pink, week ending May 4: 5% (5-yr avg 19%, last year 9%)Pink, week ending May 11: 30% (5-yr avg 57%, last year 61%)Pink, week ending May 18: 100% (5-yr avg 87%, last year 92%)Pink, week ending May 25: 100% (5-yr avg 95%, last year 98%)May 4May 11May 18May 25
This year5-yr avgLast year

Pink: 100% as of May 25 (5-yr avg 95%).

Field progress

Full bloom, 2025

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Vermont apple full bloom, 20250%50%100%Full bloom, week ending May 11: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending May 18: 49% (5-yr avg 43%, last year 24%)Full bloom, week ending May 25: 59% (5-yr avg 77%, last year 73%)Full bloom, week ending Jun 1: 80% (5-yr avg 89%, last year 93%)Full bloom, week ending Jun 8: 91% (5-yr avg —, last year 99%)May 11May 18May 25Jun 1Jun 8
This year5-yr avgLast year

Full bloom: 91% as of Jun 8.

Field progress

Petal fall, 2025

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Vermont apple petal fall, 20250%50%100%Petal fall, week ending May 25: 7% (5-yr avg 50%, last year 56%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 1: 65% (5-yr avg 76%, last year 86%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 8: 86% (5-yr avg 90%, last year 99%)Petal fall, week ending Jun 15: 98% (5-yr avg —, last year 100%)May 25Jun 1Jun 8Jun 15
This year5-yr avgLast year

Petal fall: 98% as of Jun 15.

Field progress

Fruit set, 2025

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Vermont apple fruit set, 20250%50%100%Fruit set, week ending Jun 1: 0% (5-yr avg 33%, last year 61%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 8: 25% (5-yr avg 58%, last year 87%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 15: 80% (5-yr avg 84%, last year 99%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 22: 97% (5-yr avg —, last year 100%)Fruit set, week ending Jun 29: 98% (5-yr avg —, last year 100%)Jun 1Jun 8Jun 15Jun 22Jun 29
This year5-yr avgLast year

Fruit set: 98% as of Jun 29.

Field progress

Harvested, 2025

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Vermont apple harvested, 20250%50%100%Harvested, week ending Aug 10: 0% (5-yr avg 1%, last year 0%)Harvested, week ending Aug 17: 5% (5-yr avg 3%, last year 0%)Harvested, week ending Aug 24: 15% (5-yr avg 8%, last year 1%)Harvested, week ending Aug 31: 30% (5-yr avg 17%, last year 16%)Harvested, week ending Sep 7: 36% (5-yr avg 29%, last year 37%)Harvested, week ending Sep 14: 50% (5-yr avg 37%, last year 57%)Harvested, week ending Sep 21: 60% (5-yr avg 43%, last year 70%)Harvested, week ending Sep 28: 70% (5-yr avg 54%, last year 75%)Aug 10Aug 17Aug 24Aug 31Sep 7Sep 14Sep 21Sep 28
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 70% as of Sep 28 (5-yr avg 54%).

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

Vermont apple crop: USDA first forecast vs final010203040million lb2010: no forecast · final 35.0 million lb20102011: no forecast · final 33.5 million lb20112012: no forecast · final 25.5 million lb20122013: no forecast · final 34.0 million lb20132014: no forecast · final 29.4 million lb20142015: no forecast · final 38.3 million lb20152016: no forecast · final 30.0 million lb20162017: no forecast · final 30.9 million lb20172018: Aug forecast 20.1 million lb · final pending2018
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (million lb)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
201820.1 Augustpending———
2017—30.9—$23M0.3%
2016—30.0—$20M0.3%
2015—38.3—$16M0.4%
2014—29.4—$11M0.2%
2013—34.0—$14M0.3%
2012—25.5—$10M0.3%
2011—33.5—$8M0.4%
2010—35.0—$10M0.4%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

Vermont apple crop: fresh market vs processing010203040million lb2010: fresh 27.0, processing 6.0, not sold 0.0 million lb — 82% fresh20102011: fresh 16.0, processing 10.5, not sold 0.5 million lb — 59% fresh20112012: fresh 17.5, processing 6.5, not sold 0.0 million lb — 73% fresh20122013: fresh 26.0, processing 5.0, not sold 2.5 million lb — 78% fresh20132014: fresh 23.8, processing 4.4, not sold 0.1 million lb — 84% fresh20142015: fresh 32.7, processing 5.3, not sold 0.3 million lb — 85% fresh20152016: fresh 24.0, processing 5.8, not sold 0.2 million lb — 80% fresh20162017: fresh 24.3, processing 6.4, not sold 0.2 million lb — 79% fresh2017
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

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