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New York · crop watch

New York apple crop

USDA last rated the 2022 New York apple crop for the week ending Sep 25, when 64% was good or excellent, versus 43% at this point last year. Harvest stood at 98% complete. USDA's August forecast puts the 2022 crop at 1,450.0 million lb, up 5.1% from last year's final of 1,380.0.

Last rated week ending Sep 25, 2022

Good to excellent · last reading

64%of the crop

Share of the 2022 crop rated good or excellent for the week ending Sep 25.

–

98%

Harvested

As of Nov 13.

▼

1,350

million lb, 2026 forecast

−9.7% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Week ending Sep 27

New York apple condition held at 47% good-excellent

For the week ending September 27, 2026, New York's apple crop rated 47% good to excellent, unchanged from the previous week but well above the 23% mark logged the same week last year. Poor condition stood at 18%. Harvest reached 45% complete, running slightly behind both the five-year average of 48% and last year's 47% pace at this point. USDA's August forecast put the 2026 crop at 1,350 million pounds, down 9.7% from last year's final total of 1,495 million pounds. New York crops have typically finished 5.1% larger than their first forecast, so the final number may come in above this estimate. Harvest progress bears watching as picking continues into fall.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Forecast reliability

±5.5%

Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 5 completed seasons.

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2022

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

2026202520242023202220212020
New York apple crop condition, 20220%25%50%75%100%Week ending Jun 12: Very poor 0%, Poor 1%, Fair 36%, Good 53%, Excellent 10% — good+excellent 63% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Jun 19: Very poor 0%, Poor 16%, Fair 17%, Good 57%, Excellent 10% — good+excellent 67% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Jun 26: Very poor 0%, Poor 19%, Fair 20%, Good 57%, Excellent 4% — good+excellent 61% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Week ending Jul 17: Very poor 0%, Poor 20%, Fair 25%, Good 49%, Excellent 6% — good+excellent 55% (5-yr avg —, last year 58%)Week ending Jul 24: Very poor 0%, Poor 17%, Fair 40%, Good 41%, Excellent 2% — good+excellent 43% (5-yr avg —, last year 60%)Week ending Jul 31: Very poor 0%, Poor 20%, Fair 47%, Good 31%, Excellent 2% — good+excellent 33% (5-yr avg —, last year 60%)Week ending Aug 7: Very poor 0%, Poor 16%, Fair 42%, Good 40%, Excellent 2% — good+excellent 42% (5-yr avg —, last year 60%)Week ending Aug 14: Very poor 0%, Poor 23%, Fair 41%, Good 34%, Excellent 2% — good+excellent 36% (5-yr avg —, last year 63%)Week ending Aug 21: Very poor 0%, Poor 24%, Fair 40%, Good 34%, Excellent 2% — good+excellent 36% (5-yr avg 55%, last year 65%)Week ending Aug 28: Very poor 0%, Poor 24%, Fair 42%, Good 34%, Excellent 0% — good+excellent 34% (5-yr avg 52%, last year 65%)Week ending Sep 4: Very poor 0%, Poor 13%, Fair 29%, Good 55%, Excellent 3% — good+excellent 58% (5-yr avg 51%, last year 65%)Week ending Sep 11: Very poor 0%, Poor 16%, Fair 19%, Good 61%, Excellent 4% — good+excellent 65% (5-yr avg 55%, last year 67%)Week ending Sep 18: Very poor 0%, Poor 16%, Fair 19%, Good 61%, Excellent 4% — good+excellent 65% (5-yr avg 54%, last year 43%)Week ending Sep 25: Very poor 0%, Poor 18%, Fair 18%, Good 62%, Excellent 2% — good+excellent 64% (5-yr avg —, last year 43%)−12 pts — week ending Jul 24−12 ptsHarvest begins — week ending Jul 31Harvest beginsUSDA forecast — week ending Aug 14USDA forecastJun 12Jun 26Jul 24Aug 7Aug 21Sep 4Sep 18
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 64% good or excellent, week ending Sep 25. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Green tip, 2022

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New York apple green tip, 20220%50%100%Green tip, week ending Apr 3: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Green tip, week ending Apr 10: 11% (5-yr avg 6%, last year 3%)Green tip, week ending Apr 17: 17% (5-yr avg 15%, last year 25%)Green tip, week ending Apr 24: 35% (5-yr avg 22%, last year 32%)Green tip, week ending May 1: 67% (5-yr avg 43%, last year 54%)Green tip, week ending May 8: 73% (5-yr avg 57%, last year 62%)Green tip, week ending May 15: 85% (5-yr avg 68%, last year 72%)Green tip, week ending May 22: 90% (5-yr avg —, last year 88%)Green tip, week ending May 29: 92% (5-yr avg —, last year 94%)Green tip, week ending Jun 5: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 97%)Apr 3Apr 17May 1May 15May 29
This year5-yr avgLast year

Green tip: 95% as of Jun 5.

Field progress

Pink, 2022

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New York apple pink, 20220%50%100%Pink, week ending Apr 10: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending Apr 17: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending Apr 24: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 13%)Pink, week ending May 1: 18% (5-yr avg 19%, last year 39%)Pink, week ending May 8: 60% (5-yr avg 30%, last year 46%)Pink, week ending May 15: 73% (5-yr avg 43%, last year 49%)Pink, week ending May 22: 78% (5-yr avg 65%, last year 70%)Pink, week ending May 29: 80% (5-yr avg 74%, last year 76%)Pink, week ending Jun 5: 87% (5-yr avg —, last year 79%)Pink, week ending Jun 12: 92% (5-yr avg —, last year 82%)Pink, week ending Jun 19: 94% (5-yr avg —, last year 93%)Pink, week ending Jun 26: 100% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Apr 10Apr 24May 8May 22Jun 5Jun 19
This year5-yr avgLast year

Pink: 100% as of Jun 26.

Field progress

Full bloom, 2022

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New York apple full bloom, 20220%50%100%Full bloom, week ending May 1: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending May 8: 37% (5-yr avg 14%, last year 21%)Full bloom, week ending May 15: 62% (5-yr avg 27%, last year 29%)Full bloom, week ending May 22: 69% (5-yr avg 48%, last year 49%)Full bloom, week ending May 29: 73% (5-yr avg 58%, last year 55%)Full bloom, week ending Jun 5: 82% (5-yr avg —, last year 58%)Full bloom, week ending Jun 12: 87% (5-yr avg —, last year 62%)Full bloom, week ending Jun 19: 88% (5-yr avg —, last year 72%)Full bloom, week ending Jun 26: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 88%)May 1May 15May 29Jun 12Jun 26
This year5-yr avgLast year

Full bloom: 95% as of Jun 26.

Field progress

Harvested, 2022

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New York apple harvested, 20220%50%100%Harvested, week ending Jul 17: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Jul 24: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 2%)Harvested, week ending Jul 31: 1% (5-yr avg —, last year 3%)Harvested, week ending Aug 7: 3% (5-yr avg —, last year 5%)Harvested, week ending Aug 14: 6% (5-yr avg —, last year 8%)Harvested, week ending Aug 21: 9% (5-yr avg —, last year 10%)Harvested, week ending Aug 28: 13% (5-yr avg 12%, last year 12%)Harvested, week ending Sep 4: 22% (5-yr avg 20%, last year 17%)Harvested, week ending Sep 11: 25% (5-yr avg 28%, last year 27%)Harvested, week ending Sep 18: 34% (5-yr avg 36%, last year 35%)Harvested, week ending Sep 25: 50% (5-yr avg 48%, last year 44%)Harvested, week ending Oct 2: 66% (5-yr avg 55%, last year 54%)Harvested, week ending Oct 9: 72% (5-yr avg 62%, last year 64%)Harvested, week ending Oct 16: 75% (5-yr avg 70%, last year 70%)Harvested, week ending Oct 23: 78% (5-yr avg 80%, last year 76%)Harvested, week ending Oct 30: 91% (5-yr avg 87%, last year 78%)Harvested, week ending Nov 6: 93% (5-yr avg 92%, last year 80%)Harvested, week ending Nov 13: 98% (5-yr avg —, last year 84%)Jul 17Aug 7Aug 28Sep 18Oct 9Oct 30
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 98% as of Nov 13.

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

New York apple crop: USDA first forecast vs final05001,0001,500million lb2015: no forecast · final 1,400.0 million lb20152016: no forecast · final 1,250.0 million lb20162017: no forecast · final 1,350.0 million lb20172018: Aug forecast 1,300.0 million lb · final 1,395.0 million lb (+7.3%)+7.3%20182019: Aug forecast 1,250.0 million lb · final 1,320.0 million lb (+5.6%)+5.6%20192020: Aug forecast 1,300.0 million lb · final 1,385.0 million lb (+6.5%)+6.5%20202021: Aug forecast 1,350.0 million lb · final 1,380.0 million lb (+2.2%)+2.2%20212022: Aug forecast 1,450.0 million lb · final 1,480.0 million lb (+2.1%)+2.1%20222023: Aug forecast 1,100.0 million lb · final 1,310.0 million lb (+19.1%)+19.1%20232024: Aug forecast 1,300.0 million lb · final 1,290.0 million lb (-0.8%)−0.8%20242025: Aug forecast 1,450.0 million lb · final 1,495.0 million lb (+3.1%)+3.1%20252026: Aug forecast 1,350.0 million lb · final pending2026
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (million lb)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
20261,350.0 Augustpending———
20251,450.0 August1,495.0+3.1%$352M13.5%
20241,300.0 August1,290.0−0.8%$332M11.8%
20231,100.0 August1,310.0+19.1%$395M11.4%
20221,450.0 August1,480.0+2.1%$343M14.8%
20211,350.0 August1,380.0+2.2%$375M13.7%
20201,300.0 August1,385.0+6.5%$328M13.4%
20191,250.0 August1,320.0+5.6%$276M11.9%
20181,300.0 August1,395.0+7.3%$262M13.6%
2017—1,350.0—$357M11.7%
2016—1,250.0—$346M10.9%
2015—1,400.0—$287M13.9%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

New York apple crop: fresh market vs processing05001,0001,500million lb2014: fresh 645.0, processing 645.0, not sold 0.0 million lb — 50% fresh20142015: fresh 735.0, processing 655.0, not sold 10.0 million lb — 53% fresh20152016: fresh 700.0, processing 540.0, not sold 10.0 million lb — 56% fresh20162017: fresh 735.0, processing 595.0, not sold 20.0 million lb — 54% fresh20172018: fresh 747.7, processing 629.1, not sold 18.2 million lb — 54% fresh20182019: fresh 722.0, processing 596.6, not sold 1.4 million lb — 55% fresh20192020: fresh 684.2, processing 699.4, not sold 1.4 million lb — 49% fresh20202021: fresh 750.7, processing 622.4, not sold 6.9 million lb — 54% fresh20212022: fresh 729.6, processing 740.0, not sold 10.4 million lb — 49% fresh20222023: fresh 715.3, processing 584.3, not sold 10.4 million lb — 55% fresh20232024: fresh 517.3, processing 758.5, not sold 14.2 million lb — 40% fresh20242025: fresh 627.9, processing 865.6, not sold 1.5 million lb — 42% fresh2025
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

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