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New York · crop watch

New York apple crop

USDA last rated the 2024 New York apple crop for the week ending Sep 29, when 79% was good or excellent, versus 42% at this point last year. Harvest stood at 96% complete (five-year average 89%). USDA's August forecast puts the 2024 crop at 1,300.0 million lb, down 0.8% from last year's final of 1,310.0.

Last rated week ending Sep 29, 2024

Good to excellent · last reading

79%of the crop

Share of the 2024 crop rated good or excellent for the week ending Sep 29.

▲

96%

Harvested

+7 points against the five-year pace of 89%.

▼

1,350

million lb, 2026 forecast

−9.7% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Week ending Sep 27

New York apple condition held at 47% good-excellent

For the week ending September 27, 2026, New York's apple crop rated 47% good to excellent, unchanged from the previous week but well above the 23% mark logged the same week last year. Poor condition stood at 18%. Harvest reached 45% complete, running slightly behind both the five-year average of 48% and last year's 47% pace at this point. USDA's August forecast put the 2026 crop at 1,350 million pounds, down 9.7% from last year's final total of 1,495 million pounds. New York crops have typically finished 5.1% larger than their first forecast, so the final number may come in above this estimate. Harvest progress bears watching as picking continues into fall.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Forecast reliability

±5.5%

Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 5 completed seasons.

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2024

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

2026202520242023202220212020
New York apple crop condition, 20240%25%50%75%100%Week ending Jul 21: Very poor 1%, Poor 3%, Fair 44%, Good 35%, Excellent 17% — good+excellent 52% (5-yr avg —, last year 20%)Week ending Jul 28: Very poor 0%, Poor 1%, Fair 37%, Good 46%, Excellent 16% — good+excellent 62% (5-yr avg —, last year 28%)Week ending Aug 4: Very poor 0%, Poor 14%, Fair 22%, Good 49%, Excellent 15% — good+excellent 64% (5-yr avg —, last year 28%)Week ending Aug 11: Very poor 0%, Poor 13%, Fair 17%, Good 52%, Excellent 18% — good+excellent 70% (5-yr avg —, last year 27%)Week ending Aug 18: Very poor 1%, Poor 13%, Fair 17%, Good 51%, Excellent 18% — good+excellent 69% (5-yr avg 45%, last year 27%)Week ending Aug 25: Very poor 0%, Poor 12%, Fair 18%, Good 52%, Excellent 18% — good+excellent 70% (5-yr avg 43%, last year 28%)Week ending Sep 1: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 17%, Good 52%, Excellent 31% — good+excellent 83% (5-yr avg 46%, last year 28%)Week ending Sep 8: Very poor 1%, Poor 0%, Fair 17%, Good 52%, Excellent 30% — good+excellent 82% (5-yr avg 49%, last year 28%)Week ending Sep 15: Very poor 0%, Poor 1%, Fair 17%, Good 52%, Excellent 30% — good+excellent 82% (5-yr avg 43%, last year 28%)Week ending Sep 22: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 17%, Good 52%, Excellent 31% — good+excellent 83% (5-yr avg 47%, last year 42%)Week ending Sep 29: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 21%, Good 56%, Excellent 23% — good+excellent 79% (5-yr avg —, last year 42%)Harvest begins — week ending Jul 21Harvest beginsUSDA forecast — week ending Aug 18USDA forecastJul 21Aug 4Aug 18Sep 1Sep 15Sep 29
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 79% good or excellent, week ending Sep 29. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Green tip, 2024

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New York apple green tip, 20240%50%100%Green tip, week ending Mar 31: 3% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Green tip, week ending Apr 7: 5% (5-yr avg 3%, last year 2%)Green tip, week ending Apr 14: 15% (5-yr avg 13%, last year 14%)Green tip, week ending Apr 21: 28% (5-yr avg 24%, last year 28%)Green tip, week ending Apr 28: 43% (5-yr avg 37%, last year 42%)Green tip, week ending May 5: 66% (5-yr avg 56%, last year 63%)Green tip, week ending May 12: 73% (5-yr avg 64%, last year 75%)Green tip, week ending May 19: 88% (5-yr avg 77%, last year 88%)Green tip, week ending May 26: 89% (5-yr avg 88%, last year 98%)Green tip, week ending Jun 2: 90% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Green tip, week ending Jun 9: 91% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Green tip, week ending Jun 16: 93% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Green tip, week ending Jun 23: 94% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Green tip, week ending Jun 30: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Green tip, week ending Jul 7: 96% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Mar 31Apr 14Apr 28May 12May 26Jun 9Jun 23Jul 7
This year5-yr avgLast year

Green tip: 96% as of Jul 7.

Field progress

Pink, 2024

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New York apple pink, 20240%50%100%Pink, week ending Apr 7: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending Apr 14: 5% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending Apr 21: 13% (5-yr avg 3%, last year 4%)Pink, week ending Apr 28: 18% (5-yr avg 13%, last year 16%)Pink, week ending May 5: 34% (5-yr avg 31%, last year 30%)Pink, week ending May 12: 47% (5-yr avg 43%, last year 48%)Pink, week ending May 19: 67% (5-yr avg 61%, last year 80%)Pink, week ending May 26: 86% (5-yr avg 74%, last year 97%)Pink, week ending Jun 2: 88% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending Jun 9: 89% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending Jun 16: 91% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending Jun 23: 92% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending Jun 30: 94% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Pink, week ending Jul 7: 96% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Apr 7Apr 21May 5May 19Jun 2Jun 16Jun 30
This year5-yr avgLast year

Pink: 96% as of Jul 7.

Field progress

Full bloom, 2024

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New York apple full bloom, 20240%50%100%Full bloom, week ending May 5: 7% (5-yr avg 13%, last year 24%)Full bloom, week ending May 12: 21% (5-yr avg 29%, last year 42%)Full bloom, week ending May 19: 41% (5-yr avg 47%, last year 78%)Full bloom, week ending May 26: 86% (5-yr avg 60%, last year 94%)Full bloom, week ending Jun 2: 88% (5-yr avg 65%, last year 96%)Full bloom, week ending Jun 9: 89% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending Jun 16: 91% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending Jun 23: 92% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending Jun 30: 94% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Full bloom, week ending Jul 7: 96% (5-yr avg —, last year —)May 5May 19Jun 2Jun 16Jun 30
This year5-yr avgLast year

Full bloom: 96% as of Jul 7.

Field progress

Harvested, 2024

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

New York apple harvested, 20240%50%100%Harvested, week ending Jul 21: 1% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Jul 28: 2% (5-yr avg —, last year 1%)Harvested, week ending Aug 4: 5% (5-yr avg —, last year 2%)Harvested, week ending Aug 11: 7% (5-yr avg —, last year 4%)Harvested, week ending Aug 18: 13% (5-yr avg —, last year 6%)Harvested, week ending Aug 25: 15% (5-yr avg 10%, last year 9%)Harvested, week ending Sep 1: 16% (5-yr avg 15%, last year 13%)Harvested, week ending Sep 8: 22% (5-yr avg 21%, last year 16%)Harvested, week ending Sep 15: 27% (5-yr avg 29%, last year 24%)Harvested, week ending Sep 22: 41% (5-yr avg 40%, last year 33%)Harvested, week ending Sep 29: 50% (5-yr avg 50%, last year 46%)Harvested, week ending Oct 6: 63% (5-yr avg 60%, last year 58%)Harvested, week ending Oct 13: 74% (5-yr avg 66%, last year 63%)Harvested, week ending Oct 20: 85% (5-yr avg 73%, last year 71%)Harvested, week ending Oct 27: 90% (5-yr avg 82%, last year 83%)Harvested, week ending Nov 3: 96% (5-yr avg 89%, last year 89%)Jul 21Aug 4Aug 18Sep 1Sep 15Sep 29Oct 13Oct 27
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 96% as of Nov 3 (5-yr avg 89%).

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

New York apple crop: USDA first forecast vs final05001,0001,500million lb2015: no forecast · final 1,400.0 million lb20152016: no forecast · final 1,250.0 million lb20162017: no forecast · final 1,350.0 million lb20172018: Aug forecast 1,300.0 million lb · final 1,395.0 million lb (+7.3%)+7.3%20182019: Aug forecast 1,250.0 million lb · final 1,320.0 million lb (+5.6%)+5.6%20192020: Aug forecast 1,300.0 million lb · final 1,385.0 million lb (+6.5%)+6.5%20202021: Aug forecast 1,350.0 million lb · final 1,380.0 million lb (+2.2%)+2.2%20212022: Aug forecast 1,450.0 million lb · final 1,480.0 million lb (+2.1%)+2.1%20222023: Aug forecast 1,100.0 million lb · final 1,310.0 million lb (+19.1%)+19.1%20232024: Aug forecast 1,300.0 million lb · final 1,290.0 million lb (-0.8%)−0.8%20242025: Aug forecast 1,450.0 million lb · final 1,495.0 million lb (+3.1%)+3.1%20252026: Aug forecast 1,350.0 million lb · final pending2026
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (million lb)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
20261,350.0 Augustpending———
20251,450.0 August1,495.0+3.1%$352M13.5%
20241,300.0 August1,290.0−0.8%$332M11.8%
20231,100.0 August1,310.0+19.1%$395M11.4%
20221,450.0 August1,480.0+2.1%$343M14.8%
20211,350.0 August1,380.0+2.2%$375M13.7%
20201,300.0 August1,385.0+6.5%$328M13.4%
20191,250.0 August1,320.0+5.6%$276M11.9%
20181,300.0 August1,395.0+7.3%$262M13.6%
2017—1,350.0—$357M11.7%
2016—1,250.0—$346M10.9%
2015—1,400.0—$287M13.9%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Utilization

Where the crop went

Fresh market against processing and unsold volume, by crop year.

New York apple crop: fresh market vs processing05001,0001,500million lb2014: fresh 645.0, processing 645.0, not sold 0.0 million lb — 50% fresh20142015: fresh 735.0, processing 655.0, not sold 10.0 million lb — 53% fresh20152016: fresh 700.0, processing 540.0, not sold 10.0 million lb — 56% fresh20162017: fresh 735.0, processing 595.0, not sold 20.0 million lb — 54% fresh20172018: fresh 747.7, processing 629.1, not sold 18.2 million lb — 54% fresh20182019: fresh 722.0, processing 596.6, not sold 1.4 million lb — 55% fresh20192020: fresh 684.2, processing 699.4, not sold 1.4 million lb — 49% fresh20202021: fresh 750.7, processing 622.4, not sold 6.9 million lb — 54% fresh20212022: fresh 729.6, processing 740.0, not sold 10.4 million lb — 49% fresh20222023: fresh 715.3, processing 584.3, not sold 10.4 million lb — 55% fresh20232024: fresh 517.3, processing 758.5, not sold 14.2 million lb — 40% fresh20242025: fresh 627.9, processing 865.6, not sold 1.5 million lb — 42% fresh2025
Fresh marketProcessingNot sold

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

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