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Idaho · crop watch

Idaho potato crop

USDA last rated the 2024 Idaho potato crop for the week ending Oct 6, when 83% was good or excellent. Harvest stood at 96% complete. USDA's November forecast puts the 2024 crop at 135.2 million cwt, down 5.6% from last year's final of 143.3.

Last rated week ending Oct 6, 2024

Good to excellent · last reading

83%of the crop

Share of the 2024 crop rated good or excellent for the week ending Oct 6.

–

96%

Harvested

As of Oct 27.

▲

138

million cwt, 2025 forecast

+2.3% against last year's final crop.

Analysis

Latest USDA forecast, November 2025

Idaho potato crop set to top last year

USDA's November 2025 forecast puts the Idaho potato crop at 138.4 million cwt, up 2.3% from last year's final total of 135.2 million cwt. The crop remains below the 143.3 million cwt final logged two years ago. Historically, Idaho's first forecast has tended to finish slightly larger than initial estimates, with past revisions averaging 0.2% higher by the final count, so the 138.4 million cwt figure could edge up rather than down as the season closes. Buyers weighing storage and contract volumes have a modestly larger crop than last year to work with, though still short of the level seen two seasons back. The next USDA update will show whether that typical upward drift holds.

Written from USDA data and source reports

Forecast reliability

±0.4%

Average gap between the season's first USDA forecast and the final crop across the last 5 completed seasons.

Weekly ratings

Crop condition, 2024

Bars are the full USDA rating split each week. The dashed line is the five-year average for good plus excellent; the dotted line is last year.

202520242023202220212020
Idaho potato crop condition, 20240%25%50%75%100%Week ending Jun 9: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 9%, Good 89%, Excellent 2% — good+excellent 91% (5-yr avg 90%, last year 71%)Week ending Jun 16: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 11%, Good 87%, Excellent 2% — good+excellent 89% (5-yr avg 86%, last year 69%)Week ending Jun 23: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 8%, Good 90%, Excellent 2% — good+excellent 92% (5-yr avg 82%, last year 65%)Week ending Jun 30: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 7%, Good 91%, Excellent 2% — good+excellent 93% (5-yr avg 84%, last year 70%)Week ending Jul 7: Very poor 0%, Poor 0%, Fair 11%, Good 86%, Excellent 3% — good+excellent 89% (5-yr avg 85%, last year 73%)Week ending Jul 14: Very poor 0%, Poor 2%, Fair 9%, Good 87%, Excellent 2% — good+excellent 89% (5-yr avg 86%, last year 74%)Week ending Jul 21: Very poor 1%, Poor 2%, Fair 13%, Good 80%, Excellent 4% — good+excellent 84% (5-yr avg 89%, last year 79%)Week ending Jul 28: Very poor 1%, Poor 2%, Fair 15%, Good 76%, Excellent 6% — good+excellent 82% (5-yr avg 88%, last year 81%)Week ending Aug 4: Very poor 2%, Poor 3%, Fair 18%, Good 68%, Excellent 9% — good+excellent 77% (5-yr avg 89%, last year 76%)Week ending Aug 11: Very poor 2%, Poor 3%, Fair 18%, Good 70%, Excellent 7% — good+excellent 77% (5-yr avg 87%, last year 83%)Week ending Aug 18: Very poor 1%, Poor 3%, Fair 14%, Good 77%, Excellent 5% — good+excellent 82% (5-yr avg 85%, last year 76%)Week ending Aug 25: Very poor 1%, Poor 3%, Fair 13%, Good 76%, Excellent 7% — good+excellent 83% (5-yr avg 83%, last year 73%)Week ending Sep 1: Very poor 0%, Poor 2%, Fair 13%, Good 79%, Excellent 6% — good+excellent 85% (5-yr avg 84%, last year 76%)Week ending Sep 8: Very poor 0%, Poor 1%, Fair 17%, Good 75%, Excellent 7% — good+excellent 82% (5-yr avg 84%, last year 74%)Week ending Sep 15: Very poor 1%, Poor 1%, Fair 21%, Good 68%, Excellent 9% — good+excellent 77% (5-yr avg 81%, last year 72%)Week ending Sep 22: Very poor 1%, Poor 2%, Fair 18%, Good 70%, Excellent 9% — good+excellent 79% (5-yr avg 83%, last year 76%)Week ending Sep 29: Very poor 0%, Poor 2%, Fair 14%, Good 77%, Excellent 7% — good+excellent 84% (5-yr avg —, last year 79%)Week ending Oct 6: Very poor 0%, Poor 2%, Fair 15%, Good 78%, Excellent 5% — good+excellent 83% (5-yr avg —, last year —)−5 pts — week ending Jul 21−5 ptsHarvest begins — week ending Aug 4Harvest beginsUSDA forecast — week ending Oct 6USDA forecastJun 9Jun 30Jul 21Aug 11Sep 1Sep 22
Very poorPoorFairGoodExcellent5-yr avg good+excellentLast year

Latest: 83% good or excellent, week ending Oct 6. Hover a bar for the full breakdown.

Field progress

Planted, 2024

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Idaho potato planted, 20240%50%100%Planted, week ending Mar 31: 2% (5-yr avg 2%, last year 0%)Planted, week ending Apr 7: 6% (5-yr avg 6%, last year 1%)Planted, week ending Apr 14: 9% (5-yr avg 15%, last year 5%)Planted, week ending Apr 21: 23% (5-yr avg 24%, last year 13%)Planted, week ending Apr 28: 31% (5-yr avg 37%, last year 24%)Planted, week ending May 5: 60% (5-yr avg 53%, last year 47%)Planted, week ending May 12: 66% (5-yr avg 70%, last year 65%)Planted, week ending May 19: 78% (5-yr avg 85%, last year 79%)Planted, week ending May 26: 80% (5-yr avg —, last year 88%)Planted, week ending Jun 2: 96% (5-yr avg —, last year 94%)Mar 31Apr 14Apr 28May 12May 26
This year5-yr avgLast year

Planted: 96% as of Jun 2.

Field progress

Emerged, 2024

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Idaho potato emerged, 20240%50%100%Emerged, week ending Apr 21: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Emerged, week ending Apr 28: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year 0%)Emerged, week ending May 5: 6% (5-yr avg 5%, last year 4%)Emerged, week ending May 12: 9% (5-yr avg 12%, last year 10%)Emerged, week ending May 19: 28% (5-yr avg 25%, last year 27%)Emerged, week ending May 26: 31% (5-yr avg 40%, last year 53%)Emerged, week ending Jun 2: 53% (5-yr avg 56%, last year 65%)Emerged, week ending Jun 9: 77% (5-yr avg 69%, last year 68%)Emerged, week ending Jun 16: 86% (5-yr avg 86%, last year 85%)Emerged, week ending Jun 23: 95% (5-yr avg —, last year 97%)Apr 21May 5May 19Jun 2Jun 16
This year5-yr avgLast year

Emerged: 95% as of Jun 23.

Field progress

Harvested, 2024

This season against the five-year average pace and last year.

Idaho potato harvested, 20240%50%100%Harvested, week ending Jul 28: 0% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Harvested, week ending Aug 4: 1% (5-yr avg —, last year 0%)Harvested, week ending Aug 11: 2% (5-yr avg 2%, last year 1%)Harvested, week ending Aug 18: 5% (5-yr avg 4%, last year 2%)Harvested, week ending Aug 25: 8% (5-yr avg 5%, last year 3%)Harvested, week ending Sep 1: 10% (5-yr avg 7%, last year 6%)Harvested, week ending Sep 8: 13% (5-yr avg 11%, last year 10%)Harvested, week ending Sep 15: 19% (5-yr avg 17%, last year 16%)Harvested, week ending Sep 22: 28% (5-yr avg 27%, last year 22%)Harvested, week ending Sep 29: 43% (5-yr avg 43%, last year 39%)Harvested, week ending Oct 6: 69% (5-yr avg 65%, last year 66%)Harvested, week ending Oct 13: 83% (5-yr avg 85%, last year 85%)Harvested, week ending Oct 20: 92% (5-yr avg 93%, last year 96%)Harvested, week ending Oct 27: 96% (5-yr avg —, last year —)Jul 28Aug 11Aug 25Sep 8Sep 22Oct 6Oct 20
This year5-yr avgLast year

Harvested: 96% as of Oct 27.

Forecast record

How the forecast moved to final

Each season's first USDA forecast against the final estimate, with the revision between them.

Idaho potato crop: USDA first forecast vs final050100150million cwt2014: no forecast · final 132.9 million cwt20142015: no forecast · final 130.4 million cwt20152016: no forecast · final 139.3 million cwt20162017: no forecast · final 134.9 million cwt20172018: no forecast · final 141.8 million cwt20182019: Nov forecast 134.0 million cwt · final 130.9 million cwt (-2.3%)−2.3%20192020: Nov forecast 136.5 million cwt · final 134.8 million cwt (-1.3%)−1.3%20202021: Nov forecast 132.1 million cwt · final 132.1 million cwt (+0.0%)+0.0%20212022: Nov forecast 120.7 million cwt · final 120.7 million cwt (+0.0%)+0.0%20222023: Nov forecast 141.9 million cwt · final 143.3 million cwt (+1.0%)+1.0%20232024: Nov forecast 135.2 million cwt · final 135.2 million cwt (+0.0%)+0.0%20242025: Nov forecast 138.4 million cwt · final 140.0 million cwt (+1.1%)+1.1%2025
First forecastFinalFinal pending
Crop yearFirst forecast (million cwt)FinalRevisionCrop valueShare of US
2025138.4 November140.0+1.1%$1,134M33.5%
2024135.2 November135.20.0%$1,220M32.1%
2023141.9 November143.3+1.0%$1,380M32.6%
2022120.7 November120.70.0%$1,509M30.0%
2021132.1 November132.10.0%$1,117M32.0%
2020136.5 November134.8−1.3%$981M32.1%
2019134.0 November130.9−2.3%$1,045M30.9%
2018—141.8—$1,028M31.5%
2017—134.9—$975M29.9%
2016—139.3—$968M30.9%
2015—130.4—$913M29.1%
2014—132.9—$957M29.6%

Revision is how far the final estimate moved from the season's first forecast — the practical measure of how much weight to give an early number.

Source: USDA NASS Crop Progress (weekly, April–November) and Crop Production reports. This product uses the NASS API but is not endorsed or certified by NASS.

Updated September 29, 2026

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